Sport Picks
Folgore Caratese vs Oltrepo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 
Match Events
46'
46'
Biondini G.
77'
77'
Lo Monaco M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Folgore Caratese and Oltrepo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Folgore Caratese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Oltrepo come out ahead of Folgore Caratese on wins alone.
- Model gives Folgore Caratese a 50% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 68%
Oltrepo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Oltrepo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Oltrepo
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Oltrepo vs Folgore Caratese
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Biondini G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Oltrepo Compare
Top Goalscorer Lo Monaco M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Folgore Caratese 95 / 100
Oltrepo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Folgore Caratese Oltrepo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Folgore Caratese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Folgore Caratese found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Oltrepo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Folgore Caratese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Folgore Caratese VS Oltrepo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.57
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Folgore Caratese
(Home) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0 Treviso
Page 1 of 3
Oltrepo
(Away) 04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2 Lentigione
27 Sept
Pro Sesto
6 : 1 Oltrepo
20 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 1 Tropical Coriano
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1 Oltrepo
12 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 3 Pavia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Pro Sesto
6 : 1 Oltrepo
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1 Oltrepo
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1 Oltrepo
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3 Oltrepo
11 Apr
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Oltrepo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
