Sport Picks
Folgore Caratese vs Ponte San Pietro
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 
Match Events
12'
12'
Gningue M.
25'
25'
Gningue M.
33'
33'
Bright K.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Folgore Caratese and Ponte San Pietro finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Folgore Caratese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Folgore Caratese carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Ponte San Pietro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 4 |
| Draws | 17 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.49 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.95 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Ponte San Pietro
2:2
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Folgore Caratese
1:1
Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Ponte San Pietro
2:2
Dec 18, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Folgore Caratese
2:1
May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Folgore Caratese
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Bright K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barranco B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83
Ponte San Pietro Compare
Top Goalscorer Gningue M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Folgore Caratese 41 / 100
Ponte San Pietro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Folgore Caratese Ponte San Pietro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Folgore Caratese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Folgore Caratese scored in 78% of their last 37 games.
Defensive concern: Ponte San Pietro conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Folgore Caratese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Folgore Caratese VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Folgore Caratese
(Home) 26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0 Treviso
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1 Sondrio
Page 1 of 4
Ponte San Pietro
(Away) 05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3 Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5 Ponte San Pietro
24 Mar
Piacenza
4 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
17 Mar
Legnano
1 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caldiero Terme | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 55:32 | 77 |
| 2 | Piacenza | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 69:35 | 74 |
| 3 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 49:26 | 73 |
| 4 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:28 | 69 |
| 5 | Varesina | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 73:49 | 68 |
| 6 | Arconatese | 38 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 58:38 | 68 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 55:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Clivense | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 38:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 10 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | 51 |
| 11 | USD Casatese | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 53:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Caravaggio | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 44:51 | 46 |
| 13 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:44 | 45 |
| 15 | Real Calepina | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:47 | 44 |
| 16 | Legnano | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34:50 | 42 |
| 17 | Castellanzese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36:51 | 39 |
| 18 | Crema | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 25:48 | 36 |
| 19 | Tritium | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31:63 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)
