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Folgore Caratese vs Ponte San Pietro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gningue M.
25' Event
Gningue M.
33' Event
Bright K.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between Folgore Caratese and Ponte San Pietro finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Folgore Caratese
28%
Draws
22%
Ponte San Pietro
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Folgore Caratese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Folgore Caratese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Folgore Caratese's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Folgore Caratese Ponte San Pietro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 11 6
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Ponte San Pietro
2:2
Sep 24, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Folgore Caratese
1:1
Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Ponte San Pietro
2:2
Dec 18, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Folgore Caratese
2:1
May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Folgore Caratese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Folgore Caratese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bright K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barranco B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ponte San Pietro Compare

Top Goalscorer Gningue M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Folgore Caratese 59 / 100
Ponte San Pietro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Folgore Caratese Ponte San Pietro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Folgore Caratese scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Ponte San Pietro conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Folgore Caratese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Folgore Caratese VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caldiero Terme38238755:3277
2Piacenza38228869:3574
3Pro Palazzolo382110749:2673
4Desenzano Calvina381912751:2869
5Varesina382081073:4968
6Arconatese382151258:3868
7Brusaporto381591455:5454
8Clivense3814111338:4753
9Villa Valle381581550:4453
10Folgore Caratese381118944:4551
11USD Casatese3813121353:5351
12Caravaggio3812101644:5146
13Ciserano-Bergamo381361949:5845
14Club Milano3811121541:4445
15Real Calepina3811111638:4744
16Legnano381191834:5042
17Castellanzese389121736:5139
18Crema38992025:4836
19Tritium386112127:5729
20Ponte San Pietro38592431:6324