Sport Picks
Folgore Caratese vs Villa Valle
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 
Match Events
37'
37'
Lops F.
39'
39'
Campani F.
60'
60'
Campani F.
AI Match Summary
Folgore Caratese in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folgore Caratese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Folgore Caratese lately — more wins on the board than Villa Valle.
- Folgore Caratese are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 20%
Villa Valle Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Folgore Caratese | Villa Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 13 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.46 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Villa Valle
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Folgore Caratese
1:2
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Villa Valle
2:2
Oct 29, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Folgore Caratese
1:1
Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Villa Valle vs Folgore Caratese
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Campani F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lops F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73
Villa Valle Compare
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Folgore Caratese 42 / 100
Villa Valle 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Folgore Caratese Villa Valle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villa Valle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Folgore Caratese found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Folgore Caratese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Folgore Caratese VS Villa Valle
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Folgore Caratese
(Home) 20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
24 Aug
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 May
Folgore Caratese
2 : 0 Treviso
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1 Sondrio
Page 1 of 3
Villa Valle
(Away) 20 Sept
Villa Valle
1 : 2 AC Milan U23
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
12 Sept
Villa Valle
0 : 0 Ciserano-Bergamo
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2 Villa Valle
03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1 Villa Valle
06 Sept
Virtus Verona
2 : 2 Villa Valle
03 May
Breno
2 : 1 Villa Valle
19 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 Villa Valle
02 Apr
AC Milan U23
1 : 1 Villa Valle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
