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Foligno vs Lanciano FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Tiberi A.
75' Event
Kyeremateng N.
84' Event
Della Spoletina M.

AI Match Summary

Foligno in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Foligno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Foligno
20%
Draws
33%
Lanciano FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Foligno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Foligno have won more games recently than Lanciano FC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Foligno Clean Sheet 19%
Lanciano FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foligno Lanciano FC
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 11 2
Draws 8 1
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.14 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Foligno vs Lanciano FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foligno Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiberi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Della Spoletina M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lanciano FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyeremateng N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foligno 32 / 100
Lanciano FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foligno Lanciano FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanciano FC has conceded goals in 89% of their last 9 outings.

Foligno scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Foligno remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Foligno VS Lanciano FC
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Foligno

(Home)
04 Oct
Foligno
1 : 0
Angelana
27 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
1 : 1
Foligno
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1
Foligno
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1
Foligno
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Lanciano FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Termoli
2 : 0
Lanciano FC
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1
Recanatese
20 Sept
Fossombrone
2 : 4
Lanciano FC
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
7 Notaresco Calcio 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)