Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Manfredi L.
23'
23'
Pupo Posada Y.
45'
45'
Tolomello F.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Foligno in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Foligno.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Foligno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Foligno lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Trestina.
- Model gives Foligno a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Foligno Clean Sheet 68%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Foligno | Sporting Trestina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Sporting Trestina
3:1
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Foligno
0:1
May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Foligno
2:0
Dec 22, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Sporting Trestina
1:3
Nov 3, 2021 Coppa Italia Serie D
Sporting Trestina vs Foligno
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Foligno Compare
Top Goalscorer Pupo Posada Y.
2 Goals Assists Leader Manfredi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Sporting Trestina Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Foligno 59 / 100
Sporting Trestina 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Foligno Sporting Trestina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Foligno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Foligno scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Sporting Trestina has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Foligno remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Foligno VS Sporting Trestina
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Foligno
(Home) 27 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
1 : 1 Foligno
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1 Foligno
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1 Foligno
06 Sept
Foligno
2 : 1 Lanciano FC
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20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Foligno
2 : 1 Lanciano FC
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0 Cannara
12 Apr
Foligno
0 : 2 Prato
29 Mar
Foligno
2 : 0 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
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Sporting Trestina
(Away) 27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0 Termoli
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0 Sporting Trestina
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1 Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0 Sporting Trestina
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0 Sporting Trestina
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0 Sporting Trestina
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
03 May
Siena
4 : 4 Sporting Trestina
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1 Sporting Trestina
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)
