Sport Picks
Foligno vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Bosi E.
65'
65'
Pupo Posada Y.
AI Match Summary
Foligno in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Foligno.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Foligno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Foligno lately — more wins on the board than Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro.
- Win probability leans Foligno's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Foligno Clean Sheet 68%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Foligno | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 1 |
| Draws | 8 | 14 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Foligno
1:0
May 7, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Foligno
3:0
Dec 18, 2016 Serie D - Group G
Foligno vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0:3
Mar 6, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Foligno Compare
Top Goalscorer Bosi E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pupo Posada Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Foligno 59 / 100
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Foligno Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Foligno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Foligno scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Recent resilience: Foligno stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Foligno VS Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Foligno
(Home) 04 Oct
Foligno
1 : 0 Angelana
27 Sept
Montecchio Gallo
1 : 1 Foligno
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Recanatese
4 : 1 Foligno
12 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 1 Foligno
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Foligno
1 : 0 Angelana
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Foligno
2 : 1 Lanciano FC
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0 Cannara
12 Apr
Foligno
0 : 2 Prato
Page 1 of 3
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
(Away) 03 May
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0 Camaiore Calcio
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1 Sporting Trestina
12 Apr
Grosseto
2 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
02 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0 Montevarchi
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
12 Apr
Grosseto
2 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
29 Mar
Foligno
2 : 0 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
25 Mar
Ghiviborgo
2 : 0 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
22 Feb
Siena
3 : 1 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)
