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Foligno vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bosi E.
65' Event
Pupo Posada Y.

AI Match Summary

Foligno in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Foligno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Foligno
28%
Draws
22%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Foligno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Foligno lately — more wins on the board than Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro.
  • Win probability leans Foligno's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Foligno Clean Sheet 68%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foligno Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 1
Draws 8 14
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Foligno
1:0
May 7, 2017 Serie D - Group G
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Foligno
3:0
Dec 18, 2016 Serie D - Group G
Foligno vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0:3
Mar 6, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Foligno vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foligno Compare

Top Goalscorer Bosi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pupo Posada Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foligno 59 / 100
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foligno Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Foligno scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Foligno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Foligno VS Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosseto34226658:2572
2Tau34189753:3363
3Prato34205949:2963
4Siena34179857:3560
5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:2957
6Terranuova Traiana341491128:3051
7Foligno341491145:3751
8Scandicci341115839:3248
9Montevarchi341016828:3246
10Sporting Trestina3410121240:4242
11San Donato Tavarnelle349131230:3540
12Ghiviborgo3410101442:4440
13Orvietana349111433:3738
14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:4937
15Camaiore Calcio34981741:5435
16Poggibonsi347101729:4631
17Cannara34682024:5926
18Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro342161620:4622