Sport Picks

Norway

NM Cup 2025/2026 Langhus kunstgress

Follo

6 - 2

Notodden

Our Tip

Match Events

36'

Hennig E.

42'

Singh K.

45'

Jorde J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NM Cup 2025/2026 game between Follo and Notodden finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Follo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Follo

Draws

90%

Notodden

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Notodden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Follo haven't matched Notodden's recent run of results.
Notodden are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Follo Clean Sheet 12%

Notodden Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Follo	Notodden
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	6	12
Draws	3	8
Losses	20	8
Goals Scored	0.88	1.5
Goals Conceded	2	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2025 NM Cup

Follo vs Notodden

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

6:2

Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly

Notodden vs Follo

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 3 - 4

1:3

Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly

Notodden vs Follo

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Mar 11, 2023 Club Friendly

Notodden vs Follo

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 2 - 4

3:2

Jan 29, 2022 Club Friendly

Notodden vs Follo

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Follo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gavey M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Hennig E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Notodden Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ullenes P.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Follo 10 / 100

Notodden 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Follo Notodden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Follo scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Notodden has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Notodden has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Follo VS Notodden

0.88 Goals Scored 1.5

2 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals

Spjelkavik2

Brattvag4

Forde0

Hodd2

TBD-

Bryne-

Haugesund-

TBD-

Rosenborg-

Ulfstind4

Alta3

Finnsnes0

Tromsdalen (TUIL)8

TBD-

Sandefjord-

Brann-

TBD-

Asker3

Skeid0

Vestfossen1

Mjondalen5

Bjarg2

Sogndal0

Vidar1

V. Haugesund4

Gamle Oslo2

Eidsvold TF1

Baerum0

Stabaek5

Flint0

Eik-Tonsberg1

Vigor0

Start3

TBD-

Viking-

Lysekloster3

Sandviken0

Gneist IL2

Asane3

Strindheim2

Stjordals Blink3

Traeff1

Aalesund4

Arendal3

Jerv2

Flekkeroy1

Egersund2

Follo6

Notodden2

Nordstrand1

Lyn3

Stromsgodset-

TBD-

Molde-

Ull/Kisa0

Strommen2

Pors1

Odds BK3

TBD-

Bodo/Glimt-

Trygg/Lade2

Ranheim1

Nardo0

Levanger6

TBD-

Ham-Kam-

Djerv 19193

Sotra2

Madla IL1

Sandnes Ulf2

Honefoss3

Raufoss0

Lorenskog1

Lillestrom4

Junkeren3

Rana FK1

Brumunddal1

Kongsvinger5

TBD-

KFUM Oslo-

Tromso-

TBD-

Kristiansund-

Valerenga-

TBD-

Fredrikstad-

Kjelsas1

Grorud0

Rade0

Moss1

TBD-

Sarpsborg 08-

1/32-finals

Brattvag5

Hodd4

TBD-

Bryne-

Haugesund-

TBD-

Rosenborg-

Ulfstind2

Tromsdalen (TUIL)5

TBD-

Sandefjord-

Brann-

TBD-

Asker1

Mjondalen4

Bjarg2

V. Haugesund1

Gamle Oslo1

Stabaek4

Eik-Tonsberg3

Start0

TBD-

Viking-

Lysekloster3

Asane0

Stjordals Blink1

Aalesund2

Arendal2

Egersund3

Follo0

Lyn2

Stromsgodset-

TBD-

Molde-

Strommen2

Odds BK3

TBD-

Bodo/Glimt-

Trygg/Lade1

Levanger3

TBD-

Ham-Kam-

Djerv 19192

Sandnes Ulf6

Honefoss2

Lillestrom3

Junkeren0

Kongsvinger4

TBD-

KFUM Oslo-

Tromso-

TBD-

Kristiansund-

Valerenga-

TBD-

Fredrikstad-

Kjelsas2

Moss1

TBD-

Sarpsborg 08-

1/16-finals

Brattvag1

Bryne2

Haugesund1

Rosenborg4

Tromsdalen (TUIL)6

Sandefjord1

Brann5

Mjondalen1

Bjarg6

Stabaek1

Eik-Tonsberg0

Viking2

Lysekloster1

Aalesund3

Egersund3

Lyn2

Stromsgodset1

Molde2

Odds BK1

Bodo/Glimt3

Levanger1

Ham-Kam5

Sandnes Ulf1

Lillestrom2

Kongsvinger1

KFUM Oslo3

Tromso2

Kristiansund1

Valerenga1

Fredrikstad2

Kjelsas5

Sarpsborg 086

1/8-finals

Bryne4

Rosenborg2

Tromsdalen (TUIL)2

Brann3

Bjarg0

Viking3

Aalesund3

Egersund2

Molde1

Bodo/Glimt2

Ham-Kam0

Lillestrom2

KFUM Oslo2

Tromso1

Fredrikstad2

Sarpsborg 081

Quarter-finals

Bryne1

Brann2

Viking1

Aalesund2

Bodo/Glimt4

Lillestrom0

KFUM Oslo3

Fredrikstad2

Semi-finals

Brann2

Aalesund1

Bodo/Glimt2

KFUM Oslo1

Final

Brann3

Bodo/Glimt4