Sport Picks
Follonica Gavorrano vs Fezzanese
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 
Match Events
14'
14'
Cantatore F.
61'
61'
Matteucci E.
90'
90'
Bruccini M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Follonica Gavorrano and Fezzanese finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fezzanese haven't matched Follonica Gavorrano's recent run of results.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Follonica Gavorrano taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Follonica Gavorrano here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 68%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Follonica Gavorrano | Fezzanese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Fezzanese
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Fezzanese vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:2
Mar 5, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Fezzanese
2:1
Oct 30, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Fezzanese vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Follonica Gavorrano Compare
Top Goalscorer Matteucci E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Fezzanese Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruccini M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Follonica Gavorrano 68 / 100
Fezzanese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Follonica Gavorrano Fezzanese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Follonica Gavorrano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Follonica Gavorrano found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).
Fezzanese has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Follonica Gavorrano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Follonica Gavorrano VS Fezzanese
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Follonica Gavorrano
(Home) 04 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0 Grassina
10 May
Follonica Gavorrano
3 : 2 Camaiore Calcio
03 May
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 2 Tau
Page 1 of 4
Fezzanese
(Away) 04 Oct
Fezzanese
1 : 2 Valenzana
27 Sept
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0 Fezzanese
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2 Gozzano
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3 Fezzanese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0 Chisola
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0 Fezzanese
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3 Fezzanese
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1 Fezzanese
27 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 0 Fezzanese
13 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
4 : 1 Fezzanese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Livorno | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 74:44 | 72 |
| 2 | Fulgens Foligno | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 61:44 | 60 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:39 | 59 |
| 4 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 65:57 | 55 |
| 5 | Orvietana | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 44:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Siena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:32 | 52 |
| 7 | Grosseto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39:34 | 50 |
| 8 | Ostiamare | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49:53 | 45 |
| 9 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32:36 | 43 |
| 10 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 26:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Montevarchi | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 36:39 | 41 |
| 12 | Flaminia | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:43 | 40 |
| 13 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 40:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 34:47 | 39 |
| 15 | Figline | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 29:33 | 38 |
| 16 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:45 | 38 |
| 17 | Sangiovannese | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 30:38 | 36 |
| 18 | Fezzanese | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:63 | 26 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)
