Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025

Follonica Gavorrano

1 - 1

Fezzanese

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Cantatore F.

61'

Matteucci E.

90'

Bruccini M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Follonica Gavorrano and Fezzanese finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Follonica Gavorrano

Draws

Fezzanese

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Fezzanese haven't matched Follonica Gavorrano's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Follonica Gavorrano taking it.
Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Follonica Gavorrano here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%

Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 68%

Fezzanese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Follonica Gavorrano	Fezzanese
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	9	6
Draws	10	7
Losses	13	17
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	1.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group E

Follonica Gavorrano vs Fezzanese

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Oct 19, 2024 Serie D - Group E

Fezzanese vs Follonica Gavorrano

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Mar 5, 2017 Serie D - Group E

Follonica Gavorrano vs Fezzanese

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Oct 30, 2016 Serie D - Group E

Fezzanese vs Follonica Gavorrano

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 3 - 0

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Follonica Gavorrano Compare

Top Goalscorer Matteucci E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Fezzanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruccini M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Follonica Gavorrano 95 / 100

Fezzanese 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Follonica Gavorrano Fezzanese

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fezzanese conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Follonica Gavorrano scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Follonica Gavorrano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Follonica Gavorrano VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Livorno	34	21	9	4	74:44	72
2	Fulgens Foligno	34	17	9	8	61:44	60
3	Seravezza Pozzi	34	16	11	7	53:39	59
4	Ghiviborgo	34	17	4	13	65:57	55
5	Orvietana	34	15	8	11	44:41	53
6	Siena	34	14	10	10	35:32	52
7	Grosseto	34	13	11	10	39:34	50
8	Ostiamare	34	12	9	13	49:53	45
9	Poggibonsi	34	12	7	15	32:36	43
10	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	11	10	13	26:26	43
11	Montevarchi	34	9	14	11	36:39	41
12	Flaminia	34	10	10	14	42:43	40
13	Follonica Gavorrano	34	10	10	14	40:45	40
14	Terranuova Traiana	34	8	15	11	34:47	39
15	Figline	34	9	11	14	29:33	38
16	Sporting Trestina	34	9	11	14	35:45	38
17	Sangiovannese	34	9	9	16	30:38	36
18	Fezzanese	34	6	8	20	35:63	26