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Follonica Gavorrano vs Scandicci - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Follonica Gavorrano host Scandicci in the Serie D - Group E. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Scandicci have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Follonica Gavorrano have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.23. Head-to-head, Follonica Gavorrano have won 3 to Scandicci's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.19) point toward Scandicci. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Follonica Gavorrano
35%
Draws
31%
Scandicci
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Scandicci come out ahead of Follonica Gavorrano on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 20%
Scandicci Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Follonica Gavorrano Scandicci
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 12 13
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.23 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:3
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Scandicci
1:0
Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Follonica Gavorrano
2:0
Dec 4, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Scandicci
1:0
Feb 21, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Follonica Gavorrano
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Follonica Gavorrano 31 / 100
Scandicci 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Follonica Gavorrano Scandicci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Follonica Gavorrano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Follonica Gavorrano's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Follonica Gavorrano remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Scandicci conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Follonica Gavorrano VS Scandicci
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Follonica Gavorrano

(Home)
18 Oct
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 1
Prato
11 Oct
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 1
Terranuova Traiana
04 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1
Follonica Gavorrano
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1
Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2
Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 7

Scandicci

(Away)
18 Oct
Terranuova Traiana
1 : 0
Scandicci
11 Oct
Scandicci
3 : 3
Ghiviborgo
04 Oct
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2
Scandicci
27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0
Ternana
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3
Scandicci
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prato 8 5 3 0 12:5 18
2 Follonica Gavorrano 8 4 4 0 11:5 16
3 Seravezza Pozzi 8 4 2 2 15:5 14
4 Lucchese 8 4 2 2 18:15 14
5 Siena 8 4 1 3 15:10 13
6 Tau 8 4 1 3 11:14 13
7 Ternana 8 3 3 2 13:8 12
8 Scandicci 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
9 Terranuova Traiana 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
10 Flaminia 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
12 Montevarchi 8 3 1 4 12:12 10
13 Mezzolara 8 1 6 1 7:9 9
14 Rondinella 8 2 3 3 6:10 9
15 Sasso Marconi 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
16 Grassina 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 SCD Progresso 8 1 0 7 4:17 3
18 Ghiviborgo 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)