Sport Picks
Follonica Gavorrano vs Seravezza Pozzi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 
Match Events
45'
45'
Bedini B.
64'
64'
74'
74'
Rinaldini D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Follonica Gavorrano have won more games recently than Seravezza Pozzi.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Follonica Gavorrano taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 68%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Follonica Gavorrano | Seravezza Pozzi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.08 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Seravezza Pozzi
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Follonica Gavorrano
2:1
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Seravezza Pozzi
0:2
Dec 21, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Seravezza Pozzi vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Seravezza Pozzi
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Follonica Gavorrano Compare
Top Goalscorer Rinaldini D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54
Seravezza Pozzi Compare
Top Goalscorer Bedini B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.57
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Follonica Gavorrano 51 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Follonica Gavorrano Seravezza Pozzi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Follonica Gavorrano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Follonica Gavorrano found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Seravezza Pozzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Follonica Gavorrano VS Seravezza Pozzi
1.29 Goals Scored 1.63
0.43 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Follonica Gavorrano
(Home) 04 Oct
Flaminia
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0 Grassina
10 May
Follonica Gavorrano
3 : 2 Camaiore Calcio
03 May
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 2 Tau
Page 1 of 3
Seravezza Pozzi
(Away) 07 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 2 Lucchese
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
27 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
3 : 0 Terranuova Traiana
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 1 Montevarchi
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
06 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
2 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
17 May
Prato
1 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Tau
0 : 2 Seravezza Pozzi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)
