Sport Picks
Follonica Gavorrano vs Tau Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 
Match Events
45'
45'
Presta F.
70'
70'
Manetti A.
81'
81'
Paperini A.
AI Match Summary
Tau in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tau.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
15%
35%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tau lately — more wins on the board than Follonica Gavorrano.
- Model gives Follonica Gavorrano a 50% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 20%
Tau Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Follonica Gavorrano | Tau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Tau
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Follonica Gavorrano
6:1
May 12, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Tau
1:3
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Tau vs Follonica Gavorrano
0:1
Oct 28, 2023 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Tau
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Follonica Gavorrano Compare
Top Goalscorer Presta F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Tau Compare
Top Goalscorer Manetti A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Paperini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Follonica Gavorrano 85 / 100
Tau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Follonica Gavorrano Tau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Follonica Gavorrano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Follonica Gavorrano scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Follonica Gavorrano has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Follonica Gavorrano VS Tau
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Follonica Gavorrano
(Home) 27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
20 Sept
San Donato Tavarnelle
0 : 2 Follonica Gavorrano
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0 Grassina
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 1 Sasso Marconi
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
06 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
2 : 0 Grassina
10 May
Follonica Gavorrano
3 : 2 Camaiore Calcio
03 May
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 2 Tau
Page 1 of 4
Tau
(Away) 27 Sept
Tau
3 : 2 Rondinella
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0 Tau
16 Sept
Tau
3 : 2 Siena
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1 Tau
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0 Tau
12 Sept
Montevarchi
4 : 1 Tau
05 Aug
Grosseto
2 : 2 Tau
03 May
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 2 Tau
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0 Tau
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)
