Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Follonica Gavorrano vs Viareggio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Follonica Gavorrano in this Serie D - Group E 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Follonica Gavorrano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Follonica Gavorrano
6%
Draws
4%
Viareggio
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Follonica Gavorrano lately — more wins on the board than Viareggio.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Follonica Gavorrano taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 68%
Viareggio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Follonica Gavorrano Viareggio
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Viareggio
3:1
Dec 16, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Viareggio vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:0
Jan 8, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs Viareggio
2:2
Sep 4, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Viareggio vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:0
Aug 19, 2012 Coppa Italia Serie C
Viareggio vs Follonica Gavorrano
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Follonica Gavorrano 95 / 100
Viareggio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Follonica Gavorrano Viareggio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Viareggio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Follonica Gavorrano scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Follonica Gavorrano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Follonica Gavorrano VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pianese382111658:2174
2FC Ponsacco382013561:2773
3Seravezza Pozzi381981162:4265
4Follonica Gavorrano3818101049:3464
5Montevarchi3818101049:3864
6San Donato Tavarnelle381615751:3263
7Ghiviborgo3816121050:3760
8Tuttocuoio3815101343:4355
9Prato3815101350:4854
10Cannara3812151133:3851
11Sporting Trestina3813111439:4050
12Aglianese Calcio3810161243:5246
13Real Forte Querceta3812101642:5446
14Sangiovannese3811121536:4145
15Bastia Calcio381291745:5645
16Scandicci3811101744:5343
17Viareggio388131742:5037
18UC Sinalunghese388131730:5437
19Sangimignano Sport388121822:5136
20Massese382102626:6416