Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C 2015/2016 game between Fontanafredda and USD Dro finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fontanafredda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- USD Dro haven't matched Fontanafredda's recent run of results.
- Model gives Fontanafredda a 62% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group C 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fontanafredda Clean Sheet 20%
USD Dro Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fontanafredda | USD Dro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 20 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2016 Serie D - Group C
Fontanafredda vs USD Dro
1:1
Oct 18, 2015 Serie D - Group C
USD Dro vs Fontanafredda
1:0
Mar 8, 2015 Serie D - Group C
USD Dro vs Fontanafredda
1:0
Oct 26, 2014 Serie D - Group C
Fontanafredda vs USD Dro
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fontanafredda 40 / 100
USD Dro 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fontanafredda USD Dro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fontanafredda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fontanafredda scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
USD Dro let in goals in 70% of their last 20 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Fontanafredda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS USD Dro
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fontanafredda
(Home) 22 May
Montebelluna
2 : 0 Fontanafredda
08 May
Fontanafredda
3 : 2 Calvi Noale
01 May
Tamai
3 : 3 Fontanafredda
24 Apr
Fontanafredda
0 : 0 Campodarsego
17 Apr
Abano
0 : 2 Fontanafredda
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08 May
Fontanafredda
3 : 2 Calvi Noale
24 Apr
Fontanafredda
0 : 0 Campodarsego
10 Apr
Fontanafredda
1 : 0 Liventina
20 Mar
Fontanafredda
0 : 4 Luparense FC
02 Mar
Fontanafredda
2 : 1 Fincantieri Monfalcone
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USD Dro
(Away) 16 Feb
USD Dro
0 : 3 Virtus Bolzano
09 Feb
Brusaporto
0 : 0 USD Dro
02 Feb
USD Dro
0 : 1 NibionnOggiono
26 Jan
Arconatese
3 : 0 USD Dro
19 Jan
Seregno Calcio
2 : 0 USD Dro
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09 Feb
Brusaporto
0 : 0 USD Dro
26 Jan
Arconatese
3 : 0 USD Dro
19 Jan
Seregno Calcio
2 : 0 USD Dro
11 Jan
Pro Sesto
0 : 2 USD Dro
15 Dec
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 0 USD Dro
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia | 38 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 89:26 | 90 |
| 2 | Campodarsego | 38 | 22 | 13 | 3 | 56:31 | 79 |
| 3 | Este | 38 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 61:22 | 76 |
| 4 | AC Belluno | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 52:38 | 67 |
| 5 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 64:37 | 63 |
| 6 | Luparense FC | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 65:57 | 58 |
| 7 | Tamai | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 45:43 | 53 |
| 8 | Mestre | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 71:54 | 51 |
| 9 | Abano | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 50:47 | 49 |
| 10 | Levico Terme | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53:53 | 48 |
| 11 | USD Dro | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35:53 | 48 |
| 12 | Calvi Noale | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 40:43 | 48 |
| 13 | Union Feltre | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 50:56 | 45 |
| 14 | Fincantieri Monfalcone | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 47:57 | 43 |
| 15 | Montebelluna | 38 | 13 | 4 | 21 | 50:62 | 43 |
| 16 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 40:57 | 39 |
| 17 | Liventina | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 45:62 | 39 |
| 18 | Fontanafredda | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 44:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Giorgione | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 42:74 | 38 |
| 20 | Sacilese | 38 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 26:91 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2015/2016 (Play Out)
