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Fonte Nova vs Izabelense

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B1 2024
Fonte Nova Logo

Fonte Nova

1 - 1
FT
Izabelense Logo

Izabelense

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraense B1 2024 game between Fonte Nova and Izabelense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Fonte Nova
35%
Draws
50%
Izabelense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Izabelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Izabelense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Izabelense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Fonte Nova Clean Sheet 11%
Izabelense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fonte Nova Izabelense
Matches Played 11 21
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.09 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2024 Paraense A2
Izabelense vs Fonte Nova
5:0
Oct 28, 2024 Paraense A2
Fonte Nova vs Izabelense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fonte Nova 18 / 100
Izabelense 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fonte Nova Izabelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Izabelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Fonte Nova's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Defensive concern: Izabelense conceded in 67% of 21 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fonte Nova stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fonte Nova VS Izabelense
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fonte Nova

(Home)
13 Nov
Fonte Nova
1 : 1
Uniao Paraense
09 Nov
Izabelense
5 : 0
Fonte Nova
05 Nov
Fonte Nova
0 : 2
Amazonia IFC
31 Oct
Amazonia IFC
1 : 1
Fonte Nova
28 Oct
Fonte Nova
1 : 1
Izabelense
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Izabelense

(Away)
27 Jun
Urumajo
2 : 1
Izabelense
21 Jun
Izabelense
0 : 0
Itupiranga
14 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 2
Izabelense
10 Jun
Carajas
0 : 1
Izabelense
05 Jun
Izabelense
2 : 1
Carajas
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paragominas 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
2 Capitao Poco 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
3 Pinheirense 6 2 3 1 6:6 9
4 Santos PA 6 0 2 4 1:9 2
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izabelense 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
2 Amazonia IFC 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
3 Fonte Nova 6 1 3 2 5:10 6
4 Uniao Paraense 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 ESMAC 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
2 Carajas 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
3 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)