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Fonte Nova vs Uniao Paraense

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B1 2024
Fonte Nova Logo

Fonte Nova

1 - 1
FT
Uniao Paraense Logo

Uniao Paraense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraense B1 2024 game between Fonte Nova and Uniao Paraense finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Fonte Nova
35%
Draws
26%
Uniao Paraense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fonte Nova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fonte Nova come out ahead of Uniao Paraense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fonte Nova's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Paraense B1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fonte Nova Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Paraense Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fonte Nova Uniao Paraense
Matches Played 11 16
Wins 3 1
Draws 3 9
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.09 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.73 1.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2024 Paraense A2
Fonte Nova vs Uniao Paraense
1:1
Oct 24, 2024 Paraense A2
Uniao Paraense vs Fonte Nova
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fonte Nova 42 / 100
Uniao Paraense 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fonte Nova Uniao Paraense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fonte Nova scored in 73% of their last 11 games.

Defensive concern: Uniao Paraense conceded in 75% of 16 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Fonte Nova went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fonte Nova VS Uniao Paraense
0.83 Goals Scored 0.5
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 0%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fonte Nova

(Home)
13 Nov
Fonte Nova
1 : 1
Uniao Paraense
09 Nov
Izabelense
5 : 0
Fonte Nova
05 Nov
Fonte Nova
0 : 2
Amazonia IFC
31 Oct
Amazonia IFC
1 : 1
Fonte Nova
28 Oct
Fonte Nova
1 : 1
Izabelense
Page 1 of 3

Uniao Paraense

(Away)
30 May
Independente
3 : 0
Uniao Paraense
23 May
Uniao Paraense
2 : 2
Izabelense
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1
Independente
03 May
Izabelense
2 : 1
Uniao Paraense
12 Jul
Urumajo
1 : 0
Uniao Paraense
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paragominas 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
2 Capitao Poco 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
3 Pinheirense 6 2 3 1 6:6 9
4 Santos PA 6 0 2 4 1:9 2
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izabelense 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
2 Amazonia IFC 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
3 Fonte Nova 6 1 3 2 5:10 6
4 Uniao Paraense 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 ESMAC 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
2 Carajas 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
3 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)