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Fontenay vs Le Havre II

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National 2 - Group D 2017/2018
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AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group D 2017/2018 game between Fontenay and Le Havre II finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Le Havre II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fontenay
15%
Draws
34%
Le Havre II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fontenay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Fontenay carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fontenay are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fontenay Clean Sheet 17%
Le Havre II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fontenay Le Havre II
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2018 National 2 - Group D
Fontenay vs Le Havre II
2:3
Aug 12, 2017 National 2 - Group D
Le Havre II vs Fontenay
1:0
May 25, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Le Havre II vs Fontenay
0:3
Aug 11, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Fontenay vs Le Havre II
2:2
Apr 21, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Fontenay vs Le Havre II
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fontenay 48 / 100
Le Havre II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fontenay Le Havre II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fontenay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Le Havre II let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Fontenay's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Le Havre II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fontenay VS Le Havre II
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fontenay

(Home)
20 Dec
Fontenay
0 : 4
PSG
29 Nov
Fontenay
4 : 1
Chateauroux
15 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 0
Chamalieres
16 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 2
ESOF La Roche
07 Feb
Saumur Olympique
1 : 0
Fontenay
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Le Havre II

(Away)
24 Jul
Rouen
3 : 0
Le Havre II
25 May
Saint-Malo
2 : 2
Le Havre II
18 May
Le Havre II
0 : 1
Boulogne Billancourt
11 May
Le Havre II
1 : 0
PSG II
04 May
Lorient II
3 : 1
Le Havre II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Le Mans 30 18 6 6 59:27 60
2 Stade Briochin 30 16 9 5 50:32 57
3 Saint-Malo 30 12 12 6 44:34 48
4 Lorient II 30 11 12 7 31:24 45
5 Romorantin 30 10 11 9 45:40 41
6 Saint-Pryve 30 9 14 7 29:31 40
7 Chartres 30 9 12 9 49:42 39
8 Le Havre II 30 11 5 14 43:55 38
9 Granville 30 9 10 11 38:36 37
10 Mantes 30 10 7 13 32:39 37
11 Vitre 30 8 12 10 43:44 36
12 Limoges 30 9 10 11 31:38 34
13 Boulogne Billancourt 30 10 5 15 44:58 34
14 Trelissac 30 8 9 13 26:43 33
15 Rennes II 30 8 8 14 33:42 32
16 Fontenay 30 6 10 14 28:40 28
Promotion - National 2018/2019 (Main)