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Fontenay vs Le Mans II

France France

CFA - Group D 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CFA - Group D 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fontenay
15%
Draws
34%
Le Mans II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fontenay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Le Mans II at 1.23 per game, Fontenay at 1.14.
  • Fontenay are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular CFA - Group D 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fontenay Clean Sheet 20%
Le Mans II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fontenay Le Mans II
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.14 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2013 National 2 - Group D
Fontenay vs Le Mans II
2:2
Sep 15, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Fontenay
2:3
Apr 14, 2012 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Fontenay
0:1
Nov 12, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Fontenay vs Le Mans II
0:1
May 7, 2011 National 2 - Group D
Le Mans II vs Fontenay
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fontenay 58 / 100
Le Mans II 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fontenay Le Mans II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fontenay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fontenay scored in 60% of their last 35 outings.

Le Mans II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Le Mans II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fontenay VS Le Mans II
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Fontenay

(Home)
20 Dec
Fontenay
0 : 4
PSG
29 Nov
Fontenay
4 : 1
Chateauroux
15 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 0
Chamalieres
16 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 2
ESOF La Roche
07 Feb
Saumur Olympique
1 : 0
Fontenay
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Le Mans II

(Away)
16 Aug
Tours
4 : 0
Le Mans II
25 May
Trelissac
0 : 0
Le Mans II
18 May
Le Mans II
0 : 2
Concarneau
11 May
Viry-Chatillon
0 : 1
Le Mans II
04 May
Le Mans II
0 : 3
Lucon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lucon 34 19 6 9 68:45 97
2 Trelissac 34 18 7 9 58:39 93
3 Les Herbiers 34 16 9 9 51:30 91
4 Saint-Malo 34 13 15 6 50:31 88
5 Romorantin 34 14 10 10 38:32 86
6 Bordeaux II 34 15 7 12 51:44 86
7 Avranches 34 14 9 11 50:35 85
8 Pontivy 34 14 8 12 40:36 84
9 Concarneau 34 13 10 11 44:44 83
10 Fontenay 34 11 13 10 39:39 80
11 Le Mans II 34 13 5 16 44:53 78
12 Plabennec 34 10 12 12 37:46 76
13 Stade Bordelais 34 11 9 14 49:53 76
14 Viry-Chatillon 34 12 9 13 38:48 76
15 Caen II 34 11 8 15 45:51 75
16 Lorient II 34 10 7 17 40:57 71
17 Le Havre II 34 8 10 16 31:47 66
18 Saumur Olympique 34 5 4 25 33:76 53
Promotion - National 2013/2014 (Main)