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Football Club Nogent vs La Chapelle

France France

Coupe de France 2004/2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with La Chapelle advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Football Club Nogent
39%
Draws
31%
La Chapelle
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • La Chapelle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • La Chapelle arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor La Chapelle, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Football Club Nogent Clean Sheet 12%
La Chapelle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Football Club Nogent La Chapelle
Matches Played 2 10
Wins 0 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2004 Coupe de France
Football Club Nogent vs La Chapelle
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Football Club Nogent 29 / 100
La Chapelle 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Football Club Nogent La Chapelle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Chapelle let in goals in 100% of their last 10 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: La Chapelle registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Football Club Nogent's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Football Club Nogent VS La Chapelle
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Football Club Nogent

(Home)
17 Nov
Football Club Nogent
0 : 2
Lens
20 Nov
Football Club Nogent
1 : 3
La Chapelle

La Chapelle

(Away)
09 Dec
La Chapelle
0 : 1
Aurillac
18 Nov
Escaudoeuvres
1 : 3
La Chapelle
20 Nov
Villers-Outreaux
2 : 0
La Chapelle
21 Nov
La Chapelle
1 : 3
Vierzon Foot
13 Dec
Mulhouse
4 : 1
La Chapelle
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Auxerre-
TBD-
US Noeux Les Mines0
Calais3
Tarbes1
Montlucon0
Stade Briochin1
Vannes2
Bordeaux-
TBD-
TBD-
Istres-
US Langueux2
Orleans1
TBD-
PSG-
Nantes-
TBD-
Pau0
FC Cournon d'Auvergne1
Paris FC1
JA Drancy0
Amiens SC0
Saumur Olympique2
Blois Foot 411
Change0
Pierrots Vauban0
Epinal3
Avranches1
Servel Lannion0
Saint Neuves Maisons0
Boulogne2
Sochaux-
TBD-
EP Manosque1
Bastia0
Rodez1
La Rochelle0
TBD-
Metz-
Angers2
Limoges0
TBD-
Marseille-
Troyes1
Besancon RC0
Bayonne2
Albi4
Nice-
TBD-
Dunkerque0
Beauvais1
Schiltigheim1
Creteil0
Saint-Omer0
Reims1
AC Ajaccio-
TBD-
Arras0
Nancy1
St Etienne-
TBD-
Andrezieux1
Nimes2
Monaco-
TBD-
EP Manosque1
Seyssinet2
La Fleche2
Choisy Au Bac0
Stade Montois0
Libourne2
Caen-
TBD-
Sud Nivernais Imphy Decize0
Mulhouse3
Brest2
Le Poire Sur Vie1
TBD-
Rennes-
Lyon-
TBD-
Les Lilas1
Viry-Chatillon2
Gambsheim4
La Chapelle0
TBD-
Toulouse-
Toulon2
Cassis Carnoux1
US Semnoz Vieugy0
Montceau1
Vesoul7
FC Sainte - Marquerite1
Domerat0
Clermont2
Grenoble1
Lyon - La Duchere0
TBD-
Chateauroux-
Rapid de Menton3
Frontignan AC0
Montpellier0
FC Rhone Vallees1
Lens-
TBD-
Avion0
Dizier1
Le Mans1
Bois-Guillaume0
TBD-
Lille-
Quevilly2
Le Havre1
La Roche Vendee0
Guingamp4
Haguenau1
Gueugnon0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant1
Romorantin2
Montagnarde2
Saint-Malo1
Vitre0
Pontivy1
Strasbourg-
TBD-
SC Feignies (inactive)2
Sedan3
1/32-finals
Auxerre1
Calais0
Tarbes0
Vannes3
Bordeaux2
Istres0
US Langueux1
PSG6
Nantes3
FC Cournon d'Auvergne0
Paris FC2
Saumur Olympique3
Blois Foot 411
Epinal0
Avranches0
Boulogne1
Sochaux1
Bastia0
Rodez1
Metz2
Angers3
Marseille2
Troyes1
Albi3
Nice4
Beauvais0
Schiltigheim0
Reims2
AC Ajaccio2
Nancy1
St Etienne2
Nimes3
Monaco7
Seyssinet0
La Fleche1
Libourne2
Caen2
Mulhouse0
Brest0
Rennes1
Lyon2
Viry-Chatillon0
Gambsheim0
Toulouse3
Toulon3
Montceau0
Vesoul1
Clermont2
Grenoble3
Chateauroux2
Rapid de Menton0
FC Rhone Vallees1
Lens4
Dizier0
Le Mans1
Lille2
Quevilly1
Guingamp0
Haguenau1
Romorantin2
Montagnarde2
Pontivy0
Strasbourg1
Sedan3
1/16-finals
Auxerre2
Vannes0
Bordeaux1
PSG3
Nantes2
Saumur Olympique0
Blois Foot 410
Boulogne4
Sochaux1
Metz0
Angers0
Albi2
Nice3
Reims1
AC Ajaccio1
Nimes2
Monaco4
Libourne2
Caen0
Rennes2
Lyon2
Toulouse1
Toulon0
Clermont1
Grenoble2
FC Rhone Vallees1
Lens2
Lille3
Quevilly1
Romorantin0
Montagnarde0
Sedan4
1/8-finals
Auxerre3
PSG2
Nantes2
Boulogne3
Sochaux3
Albi0
Nice0
Nimes4
Monaco1
Rennes0
Lyon1
Clermont2
Grenoble3
Lille1
Quevilly0
Sedan2
Quarter-finals
Auxerre2
Boulogne1
Sochaux3
Nimes4
Monaco1
Clermont0
Grenoble1
Sedan2
Semi-finals
Auxerre2
Nimes1
Monaco0
Sedan1
Final
Auxerre2
Sedan1