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Forca Jovem Aquidaba W vs Lagarto W

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano Women
Thu, Nov 20, 2025
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Forca Jovem Aquidaba W play Lagarto W in the Sergipano Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Forca Jovem Aquidaba W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Lagarto W averaged 1.57 goals scored and 4.43 conceded. In past meetings, Forca Jovem Aquidaba W won 0, Lagarto W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 20, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Forca Jovem Aquidaba W and 1.00 for Lagarto W. This points to a Forca Jovem Aquidaba W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba W
15%
Draws
38%
Lagarto W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forca Jovem Aquidaba W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Forca Jovem Aquidaba W picked up more points recently compared to Lagarto W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23%
Forca Jovem Aquidaba W Clean Sheet 23%
Lagarto W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forca Jovem Aquidaba W Lagarto W
Matches Played 5 7
Wins 2 2
Draws 0 1
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.2 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.4 4.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2025 Sergipano Women
Forca Jovem Aquidaba W vs Lagarto W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forca Jovem Aquidaba W 47 / 100
Lagarto W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forca Jovem Aquidaba W Lagarto W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Forca Jovem Aquidaba W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Forca Jovem Aquidaba W attacking → ← attacking Lagarto W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forca Jovem Aquidaba W scored in 40% of their last 5 games.

Lagarto W let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Forca Jovem Aquidaba W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lagarto W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 7
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Confianca W651055:216
2Juventude W651050:016
3Estanciano EC W640224:1512
4Lagarto W621311:277
5Desportiva Aracaju W62048:216
6Olimpico EC W61146:614
7Atletico Central W60060:280
8Socorro W00000:00
9Amadense W00000:00
10Forca Jovem Aquidaba W00000:00