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Forchtenstein vs Baumgarten

Austria Austria

Burgenland 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Forchtenstein in this Burgenland 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 5-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forchtenstein.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Forchtenstein
20%
Draws
40%
Baumgarten
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Forchtenstein at 1.66 per game, Baumgarten at 1.57.
  • Model gives Forchtenstein a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Baumgarten have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Forchtenstein Clean Sheet 13%
Baumgarten Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forchtenstein Baumgarten
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.66 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2014 Burgenland
Forchtenstein vs Baumgarten
5:4
Sep 21, 2013 Burgenland
Baumgarten vs Forchtenstein
4:2
Apr 13, 2009 Burgenland
Baumgarten vs Forchtenstein
4:0
Aug 9, 2008 Burgenland
Forchtenstein vs Baumgarten
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forchtenstein 66 / 100
Baumgarten 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forchtenstein Baumgarten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forchtenstein Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forchtenstein's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Baumgarten has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Baumgarten's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Forchtenstein VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Forchtenstein

(Home)
09 Jul
Forchtenstein
1 : 0
Klingenbach
13 Jun
Forchtenstein
2 : 2
Horitschon
06 Jun
Margarethen
3 : 1
Forchtenstein
30 May
Forchtenstein
2 : 4
SV Oberwart
25 May
Drassburg ASV
4 : 3
Forchtenstein
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Baumgarten

(Away)
13 Jun
Baumgarten
2 : 3
Klingenbach
07 Jun
Horitschon
1 : 1
Baumgarten
29 May
Drassburg ASV
5 : 1
Baumgarten
23 May
Baumgarten
0 : 4
Pinkafeld
20 May
UFC St. Georgen
0 : 1
Baumgarten
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