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Forde vs Gneist IL

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Hallstensen T.
9' Event
Adonaba T.
65' Event
Savland V.

AI Match Summary

Forde in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Forde
6%
Draws
4%
Gneist IL
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Forde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Forde lately — more wins on the board than Gneist IL.
  • Model gives Forde a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • History favors Forde here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Forde Clean Sheet 10%
Gneist IL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forde Gneist IL
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.88 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Forde vs Gneist IL
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Division 3 - Group 4
Gneist IL vs Forde
3:2
May 24, 2025 Division 3 - Group 4
Forde vs Gneist IL
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forde Compare

Top Goalscorer Hallstensen T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Savland V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Gneist IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Adonaba T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forde 83 / 100
Gneist IL 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forde Gneist IL

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gneist IL's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Attacking prowess: Forde scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Forde went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forde VS Gneist IL
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%