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Forde vs Saga

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 8 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Forde in this Division 3 - Group 8 2012 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Forde
20%
Draws
40%
Saga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Forde have won more games recently than Saga.
  • Saga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 8 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Forde Clean Sheet 20%
Saga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forde Saga
Matches Played 37 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 2.32 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.05 2.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2012 Division 3 - Group 8
Forde vs Saga
4:1
Apr 24, 2012 Division 3 - Group 8
Saga vs Forde
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forde 10 / 100
Saga 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forde Saga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Forde found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (37 games).

Saga has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Saga registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forde VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Forde

(Home)
26 Sept
Asane 2
2 : 2
Forde
19 Sept
Forde
0 : 3
Fana
16 Sept
Forde
3 : 4
Aalesund
12 Sept
V. Haugesund
9 : 0
Forde
05 Sept
OS TF
2 : 0
Forde
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Saga

(Away)
20 Oct
Oystese
5 : 3
Saga
13 Oct
Saga
1 : 3
Floro
06 Oct
Stryn
1 : 0
Saga
29 Sept
Saga
2 : 2
Ardal
22 Sept
Sotra
2 : 1
Saga
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