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Forest Green vs Hartlepool - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League The New Lawn, Nailsworth
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Forest Green host Hartlepool in the National League. This one's hard to separate. Forest Green have averaged 1.82 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Hartlepool's 1.07 scored and 1.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Forest Green slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.00) back Forest Green to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Forest Green
30%
Draws
0%
Hartlepool
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Forest Green

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Forest Green have won more games recently than Hartlepool.
  • Model gives Forest Green a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Forest Green Clean Sheet 20%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forest Green Hartlepool
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.82 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Forest Green
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 National League
Forest Green vs Hartlepool
1:0
May 5, 2025 National League
Hartlepool vs Forest Green
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 National League
Forest Green vs Hartlepool
1:0
Apr 9, 2022 League Two
Forest Green vs Hartlepool
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forest Green 67 / 100
Hartlepool 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forest Green Hartlepool

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forest Green Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forest Green found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Hartlepool lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Hartlepool let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Forest Green VS Hartlepool
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Forest Green

(Home)
29 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 1
Wealdstone
26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3
Forest Green
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3
Boston United
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1
Forest Green
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0
Gateshead
Page 1 of 6

Hartlepool

(Away)
29 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Harrogate
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1
Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3
Worthing FC
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Hartlepool
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0
Hartlepool
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 11 9 2 0 29:12 29
2 Harrogate 11 7 1 3 25:17 22
3 Southend 11 6 3 2 26:17 21
4 Altrincham 11 7 0 4 16:15 21
5 AFC Fylde 11 6 2 3 21:15 20
6 Yeovil 11 5 4 2 20:15 19
7 Aldershot 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
8 Worthing FC 11 5 3 3 20:17 18
9 Kidderminster 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
10 Hornchurch 11 6 0 5 13:16 18
11 Sutton 11 5 2 4 13:15 17
12 Barrow 11 4 3 4 18:14 15
13 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
14 Eastleigh 11 4 3 4 13:15 15
15 Halifax 11 4 2 5 16:14 14
16 Carlisle 11 3 4 4 20:19 13
17 Wealdstone 11 3 3 5 16:16 12
18 Woking 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
19 Boston United 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
20 Tamworth 11 3 2 6 19:28 11
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 11 3 0 8 8:16 9
23 Solihull Moors 11 2 1 8 13:28 7
24 Gateshead 11 1 1 9 6:25 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)