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Forest Rangers vs Nkana

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mugalu C.
90' Event
Zulu C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Forest Rangers
30%
Draws
33%
Nkana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Forest Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Nkana have won more games recently than Forest Rangers.
  • Win probability leans Forest Rangers's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Super League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 8%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Forest Rangers Clean Sheet 68%
Nkana Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forest Rangers Nkana
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 12
Draws 14 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.87 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Nkana
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Super League
Nkana vs Forest Rangers
2:0
Feb 24, 2024 Super League
Nkana vs Forest Rangers
1:1
Sep 23, 2023 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Nkana
1:0
Feb 25, 2023 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Nkana
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forest Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugalu C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Nkana Compare

Top Goalscorer Zulu C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forest Rangers 50 / 100
Nkana 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forest Rangers Nkana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forest Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nkana has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Forest Rangers remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Forest Rangers scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nkana
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Forest Rangers

(Home)
17 May
Indeni
1 : 3
Forest Rangers
03 May
Forest Rangers
0 : 1
Red Arrows
19 Apr
Mufulira Wanderers
0 : 1
Forest Rangers
09 Apr
Forest Rangers
0 : 0
Nchanga Rangers
02 Apr
Green Eagles
1 : 1
Forest Rangers
Page 1 of 6

Nkana

(Away)
03 Oct
Trident
0 : 1
Nkana
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkana
1 : 2
Muza Fc
13 May
Zesco
0 : 1
Nkana
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 34 20 8 6 54:22 68
2 Zesco 34 17 12 5 34:20 63
3 Nkana 34 16 10 8 48:29 58
4 Red Arrows 34 15 11 8 32:24 56
5 Kabwe 34 13 12 9 38:27 51
6 Nkwazi 34 12 14 8 31:26 50
7 Green Buffaloes FC 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
8 Mufulira Wanderers 34 13 6 15 30:31 45
9 NAPSA Stars 34 9 17 8 24:22 44
10 Muza Fc 34 11 11 12 33:34 44
11 Nchanga Rangers 34 9 15 10 29:28 42
12 Green Eagles 34 9 14 11 32:34 41
13 Mutondo Stars 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
14 Zanaco 34 9 12 13 34:41 39
15 Atletico Lusaka 34 10 9 15 27:46 39
16 Forest Rangers 34 7 17 10 31:34 38
17 Lumwana Radiants 34 10 7 17 21:36 37
18 Indeni 34 3 6 25 20:55 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Main)
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