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Forfar Athletic vs Brechin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Station Park, Forfar
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Bell K. In: Hamilton E.
Out: Bell K.
30' Event
Shepherd S.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Rennie M.
Assist: Lemon M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Forfar Athletic
15%
Draws
49%
Brechin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brechin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Brechin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Brechin a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Brechin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Forfar Athletic, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Brechin Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forfar Athletic Brechin
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 9 20
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.04 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Brechin
3:1
Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Brechin vs Forfar Athletic
0:3
Sep 29, 2020 Club Friendly
Forfar Athletic vs Brechin
2:3
Jul 13, 2019 League Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Brechin
3:0
Mar 9, 2019 League One
Brechin vs Forfar Athletic
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forfar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Rennie M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Brechin Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forfar Athletic 18 / 100
Brechin 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forfar Athletic Brechin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brechin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Forfar Athletic scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Brechin has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Forfar Athletic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forfar Athletic VS Brechin
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.71
88% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Forfar Athletic

(Home)
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 1
Dundee Utd B
22 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 2
Peterhead
19 Sept
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0
Annan
Page 1 of 6

Brechin

(Away)
03 Oct
Brechin
3 : 2
Buckie Thistle
26 Sept
Brechin
3 : 0
Dunipace
19 Sept
Brechin
0 : 1
Hill Of Beath
16 Sept
Stirling University
0 : 1
Brechin
12 Sept
Lochee United
1 : 2
Brechin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams