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Forfar Athletic vs Brechin

Scotland Scotland

League Cup Station Park, Forfar
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Bell K. In: Hamilton E.
Out: Bell K.
30' Event
Shepherd S.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Rennie M.
Assist: Lemon M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Forfar Athletic
20%
Draws
40%
Brechin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Brechin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Brechin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Forfar Athletic, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Brechin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forfar Athletic Brechin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 League Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Brechin
3:1
Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Brechin vs Forfar Athletic
0:3
Sep 29, 2020 Club Friendly
Forfar Athletic vs Brechin
2:3
Jul 13, 2019 League Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Brechin
3:0
Mar 9, 2019 League One
Brechin vs Forfar Athletic
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forfar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Rennie M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Brechin Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forfar Athletic 30 / 100
Brechin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forfar Athletic Brechin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Forfar Athletic scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Brechin has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Forfar Athletic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forfar Athletic VS Brechin
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Forfar Athletic

(Home)
11 Aug
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3
Aberdeen B
08 Aug
Elgin City
1 : 1
Forfar Athletic
01 Aug
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0
Kelty Hearts
25 Jul
Forfar Athletic
3 : 1
Brechin
21 Jul
Livingston
8 : 0
Forfar Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Brechin

(Away)
08 Aug
Brechin
4 : 3
Berwick
01 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 2
Brechin
29 Jul
East Stirlingshire
3 : 3
Brechin
25 Jul
Forfar Athletic
3 : 1
Brechin
18 Jul
Brechin
1 : 2
Stenhousemuir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aberdeen 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
2 Queen's Park 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 Kelty Hearts 4 2 0 2 4:8 5
4 Queen of the South 4 1 0 3 6:8 4
5 Brora Rangers 4 0 0 4 3:11 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dundee Utd 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
2 Montrose 4 3 0 1 5:2 9
3 Arbroath 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Stirling 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
5 Spartans 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Mirren 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Dunfermline 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 East Kilbride 4 2 0 2 13:10 6
4 Dumbarton 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
5 Cove Rangers 4 1 0 3 3:13 3
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 4 4 0 0 11:3 11
2 Dundee FC 4 3 0 1 14:3 10
3 Clyde 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Airdrieonians 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Annan 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 4 4 0 0 6:3 10
2 Partick 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
3 Livingston 4 2 0 2 11:1 8
4 Forfar Athletic 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Brechin 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 4 4 0 0 5:1 11
2 East Fife 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 St Johnstone 4 2 0 2 6:2 7
4 Linlithgow Rose 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
5 Morton 4 0 0 4 0:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ayr 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 Falkirk 4 2 0 2 9:2 7
3 Edinburgh City 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
4 Alloa 4 2 0 2 4:9 4
5 Stranraer 4 0 0 4 4:10 1
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilmarnock 4 3 0 1 2:0 9
2 Hamilton 4 3 0 1 7:2 8
3 Raith 4 2 0 2 5:2 8
4 Peterhead 4 2 0 2 3:3 5
5 Elgin City 4 0 0 4 2:12 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams