Sport Picks
Forfar Athletic vs Edinburgh City
Scotland
Challenge Cup 2025/2026 Station Park, Forfar 
Match Events
43'
43'
Mahon R.
Assist: Lawson I.
57'
57'
Rennie M.
1'
1'
Whatley M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Forfar Athletic in this Challenge Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Edinburgh City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Edinburgh City lately — more wins on the board than Forfar Athletic.
- Edinburgh City are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Edinburgh City arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Forfar Athletic, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 11%
Edinburgh City Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Forfar Athletic | Edinburgh City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.68 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Forfar Athletic
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Edinburgh City
4:0
Feb 28, 2026 League Two
Edinburgh City vs Forfar Athletic
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Edinburgh City
2:3
Dec 9, 2025 Challenge Cup
Forfar Athletic vs Edinburgh City
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Forfar Athletic Compare
Top Goalscorer Rennie M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Edinburgh City Compare
Top Goalscorer Mahon R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Forfar Athletic 14 / 100
Edinburgh City 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Forfar Athletic Edinburgh City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Edinburgh City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Forfar Athletic scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Edinburgh City conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Forfar Athletic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Forfar Athletic VS Edinburgh City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Forfar Athletic
(Home) 28 Aug
Edinburgh City
1 : 1 Forfar Athletic
22 Aug
Clyde
3 : 0 Forfar Athletic
15 Aug
Forfar Athletic
3 : 0 Stirling
11 Aug
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3 Aberdeen B
08 Aug
Elgin City
1 : 1 Forfar Athletic
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Forfar Athletic
3 : 0 Stirling
11 Aug
Forfar Athletic
0 : 3 Aberdeen B
01 Aug
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0 Kelty Hearts
25 Jul
Forfar Athletic
3 : 1 Brechin
14 Jul
Forfar Athletic
0 : 4 Partick
Page 1 of 3
Edinburgh City
(Away) 28 Aug
Edinburgh City
1 : 1 Forfar Athletic
25 Aug
Hamilton
0 : 1 Edinburgh City
22 Aug
Edinburgh City
1 : 0 Annan
15 Aug
Dumbarton
0 : 3 Edinburgh City
11 Aug
Edinburgh City
3 : 1 Cowdenbeath
Page 1 of 6
25 Aug
Hamilton
0 : 1 Edinburgh City
15 Aug
Dumbarton
0 : 3 Edinburgh City
08 Aug
Spartans
2 : 2 Edinburgh City
21 Jul
Stranraer
0 : 2 Edinburgh City
18 Jul
Ayr
2 : 0 Edinburgh City
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Arbroath 3
Kelty Hearts 2
Elgin City 2
East Fife 3
Alloa 2
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 2
Spartans 1
Queen's Park 2
Clyde 1
Forfar Athletic 2
Edinburgh City 1
Raith 5
Hamilton 2
Queen of the South 4
Dunfermline 3
Hearts B 0
St Johnstone 1
Ross County 4
Celtic B 0
Ayr 2
Peterhead 1
East Kilbride 1
Stranraer 4
Cove Rangers 1
Partick 2
Dumbarton 0
Inverness 9
Stirling 3
Morton 2
Stenhousemuir 2
Annan 0
1/8-finals
Arbroath 3
East Fife 0
Airdrieonians 3
Montrose 1
Queen's Park 2
Forfar Athletic 0
Raith 1
Queen of the South 0
St Johnstone 2
Ross County 0
Ayr 4
Stranraer 1
Partick 3
Inverness 4
Stirling 1
Stenhousemuir 2
Quarter-finals
Arbroath 2
Airdrieonians 3
Queen's Park 1
Raith 2
St Johnstone 3
Ayr 4
Inverness 1
Stenhousemuir 0
Semi-finals
Airdrieonians 1
Raith 2
Ayr 1
Inverness 2
Final
Raith 4
Inverness 1
