Sport Picks

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Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer

Scotland Scotland

League Two Station Park, Forfar
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Forfar Athletic host Stranraer in the League Two. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Forfar Athletic have averaged 1.11 scored and 1.61 conceded recently, against Stranraer's 1.11 scored and 1.44 conceded. Head-to-head, Forfar Athletic have won 3 to Stranraer's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.81) back Forfar Athletic to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Forfar Athletic
15%
Draws
0%
Stranraer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forfar Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Forfar Athletic lately — more wins on the board than Stranraer.
  • Model gives Forfar Athletic a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 11%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forfar Athletic Stranraer
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.11 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 League Two
Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic
3:1
Aug 2, 2025 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer
1:0
Mar 22, 2025 League Two
Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forfar Athletic 47 / 100
Stranraer 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forfar Athletic Stranraer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Stranraer registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Forfar Athletic scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Stranraer let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Forfar Athletic VS Stranraer
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Forfar Athletic

(Home)
08 Aug
Elgin City
1 : 1
Forfar Athletic
01 Aug
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0
Kelty Hearts
25 Jul
Forfar Athletic
3 : 1
Brechin
21 Jul
Livingston
8 : 0
Forfar Athletic
14 Jul
Forfar Athletic
0 : 4
Partick
Page 1 of 6

Stranraer

(Away)
08 Aug
Stranraer
0 : 1
Annan
01 Aug
Clyde
3 : 1
Stranraer
25 Jul
Falkirk
3 : 0
Stranraer
21 Jul
Stranraer
0 : 2
Edinburgh City
18 Jul
Alloa
3 : 2
Stranraer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elgin City 2 1 1 0 6:1 4
2 Spartans 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
3 Forfar Athletic 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Stirling 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
5 Clyde 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
6 Kelty Hearts 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
7 Annan 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
8 Dumbarton 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
9 Stranraer 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
10 Edinburgh City 2 0 1 1 2:7 -4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)