Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer

Scotland Scotland

League Two Station Park, Forfar
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Syme M.
7' Event
Dobbie L.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Haddow A. In: Crombie E.
Out: Haddow A.

AI Match Summary

Stranraer in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stranraer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Forfar Athletic
15%
Draws
45%
Stranraer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stranraer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Stranraer at 1.64 per game, Forfar Athletic at 1.12.
  • Model gives Stranraer a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Forfar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%
Stranraer Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forfar Athletic Stranraer
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.12 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer
0:3
Apr 18, 2026 League Two
Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic
0:1
Jan 10, 2026 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer
2:2
Nov 1, 2025 League Two
Stranraer vs Forfar Athletic
3:1
Aug 2, 2025 League Two
Forfar Athletic vs Stranraer
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forfar Athletic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Stranraer Compare

Top Goalscorer Quigg A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dunne E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forfar Athletic 10 / 100
Stranraer 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forfar Athletic Stranraer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stranraer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Forfar Athletic scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Stranraer let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Forfar Athletic stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forfar Athletic VS Stranraer
1 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Forfar Athletic

(Home)
03 Oct
Dumbarton
2 : 1
Forfar Athletic
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 1
Dundee Utd B
22 Sept
Forfar Athletic
0 : 2
Peterhead
19 Sept
Forfar Athletic
1 : 0
Annan
Page 1 of 7

Stranraer

(Away)
03 Oct
Stranraer
0 : 0
Edinburgh City
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
22 Sept
Berwick
3 : 2
Stranraer
19 Sept
Elgin City
1 : 5
Stranraer
12 Sept
Stranraer
3 : 1
Dumbarton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stranraer 9 5 2 2 17:8 17
2 Clyde 9 5 2 2 21:16 17
3 Elgin City 9 4 2 3 25:16 14
4 Spartans 9 3 3 3 19:17 12
5 Kelty Hearts 9 4 0 5 13:18 12
6 Dumbarton 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
7 Forfar Athletic 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
8 Edinburgh City 9 4 3 2 19:15 10
9 Annan 9 3 0 6 9:11 9
10 Stirling 9 2 2 5 11:22 8
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)