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Forge FC vs Atletico Ottawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON
Forge FC Logo

Forge FC

2 - 3
FT
Atletico Ottawa Logo

Atletico Ottawa

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Fleuriau Chateau N.
Assist: Habibullah K.
29'
Aromatario A.
32'
Smyrniotis B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Forge FC
30%
Draws
33%
Atletico Ottawa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Forge FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Forge FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Forge FC are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Forge FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico Ottawa, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forge FC Atletico Ottawa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.77 1.73
Goals Conceded 1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Atletico Ottawa
2:3
Nov 1, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Forge FC
2:2
Oct 17, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Forge FC
1:2
Sep 12, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Atletico Ottawa
3:0
May 24, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Forge FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forge FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Massunda H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Fleuriau Chateau N.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forge FC 58 / 100
Atletico Ottawa 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forge FC Atletico Ottawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forge FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forge FC's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atletico Ottawa let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Forge FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forge FC VS Atletico Ottawa
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Forge FC

(Home)
07 Nov
Forge FC
2 : 3
Atletico Ottawa
01 Nov
Atletico Ottawa
2 : 2
Forge FC
25 Oct
Pacific FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
21 Oct
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Forge FC
17 Oct
Atletico Ottawa
1 : 2
Forge FC
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Ottawa

(Away)
07 Nov
Forge FC
2 : 3
Atletico Ottawa
01 Nov
Atletico Ottawa
2 : 2
Forge FC
25 Oct
Inter Toronto
2 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
17 Oct
Atletico Ottawa
1 : 2
Forge FC
11 Oct
Pacific FC
0 : 2
Atletico Ottawa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Cavalry 3
Supra du Quebec 2
Forge FC 4
Atletico Ottawa 5
Final
Cavalry -
Atletico Ottawa -