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Forge FC vs Inter Toronto

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON
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Match Events

12' Event
Clarke K.
Assist: Leon O.
25'
Almagro A.
38'
Rama R.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between Forge FC and Inter Toronto finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Forge FC
35%
Draws
28%
Inter Toronto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Forge FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Forge FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Forge FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 18%
Inter Toronto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forge FC Inter Toronto
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.62 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.79 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Inter Toronto
1:1
Jul 26, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Forge FC
1:3
Jun 7, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Forge FC
1:4
Oct 18, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Inter Toronto
3:0
Aug 9, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Inter Toronto vs Forge FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forge FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Massunda H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Inter Toronto Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarke K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forge FC 31 / 100
Inter Toronto 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forge FC Inter Toronto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forge FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Forge FC scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Inter Toronto has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Forge FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Forge FC VS Inter Toronto
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Forge FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 3
HFX Wanderers
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0
Atletico Ottawa
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Inter Toronto

(Away)
03 Oct
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Cavalry
27 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 4
Pacific FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
HFX Wanderers
4 : 1
Inter Toronto
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 24 14 6 4 38:20 48
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 Supra du Quebec 24 8 4 12 36:44 28
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 24 6 9 9 39:54 27
8 Pacific FC 24 2 8 14 30:52 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)