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Forge FC vs Vancouver FC

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, ON
Forge FC Logo

Forge FC

0 - 1
FT
Vancouver FC Logo

Vancouver FC

Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Ampomah N.
44' Event
Pecile D.
Assist: Bah E.
46'
Sub
Johnson L. In: Massunda H.
Out: Johnson L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between Forge FC and Vancouver FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vancouver FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Forge FC
35%
Draws
26%
Vancouver FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Forge FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Forge FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Forge FC taking it.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 68%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forge FC Vancouver FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.68 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Forge FC
1:1
Aug 7, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Vancouver FC
0:1
Jul 1, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Vancouver FC
3:2
Apr 12, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Forge FC
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Vancouver FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forge FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vancouver FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pecile D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forge FC 86 / 100
Vancouver FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forge FC Vancouver FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forge FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forge FC scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Vancouver FC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Forge FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Forge FC VS Vancouver FC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Forge FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0
Atletico Ottawa
05 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 1
Inter Toronto
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Vancouver FC

(Away)
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
Pacific FC
1 : 1
Vancouver FC
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
06 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 2
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 23 16 5 2 48:13 53
2 Forge FC 23 14 5 4 35:17 47
3 Atletico Ottawa 24 11 4 9 35:39 37
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 HFX Wanderers 24 7 5 12 35:39 26
6 Supra du Quebec 23 7 4 12 31:44 25
7 Inter Toronto 23 5 9 9 36:53 24
8 Pacific FC 23 2 8 13 30:47 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)