Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Forjaes vs Maria de Fonte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 game between Forjaes and Maria de Fonte finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maria de Fonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Forjaes
15%
Draws
36%
Maria de Fonte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forjaes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maria de Fonte come out ahead of Forjaes on wins alone.
  • Forjaes are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Forjaes Clean Sheet 20%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forjaes Maria de Fonte
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.38 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Forjaes vs Maria de Fonte
1:2
Nov 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs Forjaes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forjaes 67 / 100
Maria de Fonte 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forjaes Maria de Fonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forjaes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maria de Fonte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Forjaes scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Maria de Fonte lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maria de Fonte
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Forjaes

(Home)
08 May
Forjaes
0 : 3
SC Vianense
01 May
AD Limianos
2 : 0
Forjaes
24 Apr
Merelinense
1 : 4
Forjaes
10 Apr
SC Vianense
1 : 0
Forjaes
03 Apr
Forjaes
1 : 1
AD Limianos
Page 1 of 6

Maria de Fonte

(Away)
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
06 Sept
Brito
2 : 1
Maria de Fonte
30 Aug
Maria de Fonte
1 : 0
Uniao Nogueirense
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilaverdense FC 18 13 3 2 40:18 42
2 Maritimo B 18 11 5 2 38:20 38
3 AD Limianos 18 9 4 5 30:22 31
4 Maria de Fonte 18 8 3 7 24:21 27
5 Pedras Salgadas 18 7 5 6 22:22 26
6 Camacha 18 7 4 7 25:22 25
7 SC Vianense 18 7 1 10 23:29 22
8 Merelinense 18 5 4 9 24:30 19
9 Forjaes 18 3 4 11 27:46 13
10 Camara de Lobos 18 3 1 14 20:43 10
11 U. Madeira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)