Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Forli FC vs Mezzolara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 Stadio Tullo Morgagni, Forli
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Merlonghi M.
66' Event
Maggioli G.

AI Match Summary

Forli FC in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forli FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Forli FC
35%
Draws
32%
Mezzolara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Forli FC have won more games recently than Mezzolara.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Forli FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 68%
Mezzolara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forli FC Mezzolara
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 3
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.33 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Mezzolara
2:0
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Forli FC
2:3
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Mezzolara
2:2
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Forli FC
1:0
May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Mezzolara vs Forli FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forli FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Merlonghi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maggioli G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Mezzolara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forli FC 50 / 100
Mezzolara 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forli FC Mezzolara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forli FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Forli FC scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Mezzolara has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Forli FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Forli FC VS Mezzolara
2 Goals Scored 0.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Forli FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0
Forli FC
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1
Forli FC
19 Sept
Forli FC
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1
Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 6

Mezzolara

(Away)
04 Oct
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1
Mezzolara
27 Sept
Mezzolara
0 : 0
Grassina
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1
Ternana
12 Sept
Siena
3 : 0
Mezzolara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carpi 32 21 5 6 66:31 68
2 Ravenna 32 19 9 4 56:13 66
3 Corticella 32 18 3 11 59:40 57
4 Victor San Marino 32 17 6 9 44:37 57
5 Lentigione 32 16 8 8 49:31 56
6 Forli FC 32 16 7 9 48:35 55
7 Prato 32 12 8 12 37:41 44
8 Sangiuliano City 32 12 8 12 32:37 44
9 Fanfulla 32 11 10 11 28:35 43
10 Sant'Angelo 32 11 8 13 47:44 41
11 Aglianese Calcio 32 11 8 13 32:39 41
12 Imolese 32 12 6 14 31:33 40
13 Sammaurese 32 11 4 17 37:48 37
14 SCD Progresso 32 11 4 17 27:43 37
15 San Donnino 32 5 10 17 32:58 25
16 Certaldo 32 6 6 20 22:55 24
17 Mezzolara 32 5 6 21 23:50 21
18 Pistoiese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)