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Forli FC vs Vigor Carpaneto Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 Stadio Tullo Morgagni, Forli
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Vesi M.
55' Event
Bini F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2019/2020 game between Forli FC and Vigor Carpaneto finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Forli FC
35%
Draws
42%
Vigor Carpaneto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Vigor Carpaneto's 1.4 goals per match outpaces what Forli FC have produced (1.2).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Forli FC Clean Sheet 20%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forli FC Vigor Carpaneto
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 7 7
Draws 13 6
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.2 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2020 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Forli FC
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Vigor Carpaneto
1:1
Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Forli FC vs Vigor Carpaneto
0:0
Nov 26, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Forli FC
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forli FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Vesi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Vigor Carpaneto Compare

Top Goalscorer Bini F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forli FC 32 / 100
Vigor Carpaneto 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forli FC Vigor Carpaneto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigor Carpaneto has conceded goals in 90% of their last 20 outings.

Forli FC's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Forli FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Forli FC VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Forli FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Vado
1 : 0
Forli FC
27 Sept
Ostiamare
1 : 1
Forli FC
19 Sept
Forli FC
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1
Forli FC
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1
Vis Pesaro
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Vigor Carpaneto

(Away)
16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2
Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Mezzolara
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