Sport Picks
Formartine Utd vs Keith - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Highland League 
Match Events
16'
16'
Gill C.
Penalty Missed
64'
64'
Ritchie H.
Assist: Emmett L.
66'
66'
Scully C.
Assist: McAllister R.
AI Match Summary
The Highland League game between Formartine Utd and Keith finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Formartine Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Formartine Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Keith have managed 1.76 goals a game lately — Formartine Utd are scoring more at 1.86.
- Win probability leans Formartine Utd's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Highland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Formartine Utd Clean Sheet 18%
Keith Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Formartine Utd | Keith |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Highland League
Formartine Utd vs Keith
4:1
Mar 4, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Formartine Utd
2:1
Aug 23, 2025 Highland League
Formartine Utd vs Keith
1:1
Jan 18, 2025 Highland League
Keith vs Formartine Utd
1:3
Aug 31, 2024 Highland League
Formartine Utd vs Keith
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Formartine Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Ritchie H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Scully C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Keith Compare
Top Goalscorer Clark E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Formartine Utd 85 / 100
Keith 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Formartine Utd Keith
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Formartine Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Formartine Utd scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Keith has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Formartine Utd has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Formartine Utd VS Keith
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Formartine Utd
(Home) 07 Oct
Formartine Utd
2 : 1 Deveronvale
03 Oct
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2 Formartine Utd
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0 Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0 Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2 Montrose
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Formartine Utd
2 : 1 Deveronvale
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0 Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2 Montrose
19 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 0 Lossiemouth
08 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 3 Dundee Utd B
Page 1 of 4
Keith
(Away) 07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0 Turriff United
03 Oct
Keith
2 : 1 Stonehaven
26 Sept
Brora Rangers
5 : 0 Keith
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3 Strathspey Thistle
16 Sept
Banks O' Dee
4 : 1 Keith
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Brora Rangers
5 : 0 Keith
16 Sept
Banks O' Dee
4 : 1 Keith
22 Aug
Formartine Utd
4 : 1 Keith
15 Aug
Clachnacuddin
1 : 1 Keith
05 Aug
Fraserburgh
1 : 0 Keith
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brora Rangers | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 53:12 | 35 |
| 2 | Inverurie Loco Works | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 29 |
| 3 | Formartine Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 27:11 | 24 |
| 5 | Clachnacuddin | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 28:11 | 20 |
| 6 | Strathspey Thistle | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 26:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Forres Mechanics | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Buckie Thistle | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 32:20 | 19 |
| 9 | Banks O' Dee | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 29:27 | 19 |
| 10 | Huntly | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 26:21 | 18 |
| 11 | Nairn County | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 12 | Lossiemouth | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:28 | 17 |
| 13 | Turriff United | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | 16 |
| 14 | Keith | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 15 | Deveronvale | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17:22 | 12 |
| 16 | Invergordon | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15:36 | 10 |
| 17 | Wick Academy | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11:38 | 6 |
| 18 | Rothes | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9:55 | 3 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
