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Formartine Utd vs Threave Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Scottish Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Formartine Utd in this Scottish Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Formartine Utd
15%
Draws
28%
Threave Rovers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Formartine Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Formartine Utd have won more games recently than Threave Rovers.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Formartine Utd taking it.
  • Formartine Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Formartine Utd, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Formartine Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Threave Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formartine Utd Threave Rovers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 4
Draws 7 1
Losses 5 25
Goals Scored 1.93 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.03 3.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2023 Scottish Cup
Formartine Utd vs Threave Rovers
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formartine Utd 83 / 100
Threave Rovers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formartine Utd Threave Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Formartine Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Formartine Utd scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Threave Rovers let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Solid form: Formartine Utd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Formartine Utd VS Threave Rovers
2.38 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Formartine Utd

(Home)
07 Oct
Formartine Utd
2 : 1
Deveronvale
03 Oct
Civil Service Strollers
0 : 2
Formartine Utd
29 Sept
Forfar Athletic
2 : 0
Formartine Utd
26 Sept
Formartine Utd
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2
Montrose
Page 1 of 6

Threave Rovers

(Away)
03 Oct
Threave Rovers
3 : 2
Invergordon
27 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
4 : 0
Threave Rovers
25 Oct
Threave Rovers
2 : 3
Stranraer
28 Sept
Threave Rovers
6 : 1
Vale Of Leithen
23 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2
Threave Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Musselburgh 2
Gretna 2008 1
TBD -
Clyde -
Wick Academy 1
Jeanfield Swifts 3
TBD -
Elgin City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberdeen -
Stirling University 1
Albion Rovers 3
St. Andrews United 1
Auchinleck Talbot 0
Caledonian Braves 1
Fraserburgh 2
TBD -
Bonnyrigg Rose -
Falkirk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Formartine Utd 3
Threave Rovers 2
Dalkeith Thistle FC 0
Clydebank FC 7
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Stenhousemuir -
TBD -
Brora Rangers 5
Berwick 1
Penicuik 0
Pollok 6
Gala Fairydean Rovers 8
Strathspey Thistle 2
Stirling -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cove Rangers -
St. Mirren -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Culter 3
Deveronvale 4
Broxburn Athletic 2
Nairn County 1
Golspie Sutherland 1
Forres Mechanics 2
Tayport FC 0
Buckie Thistle 4
Ross County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
Inverness -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundonald Bluebell 2
Kilwinning Rangers 3
Cowdenbeath 2
Linlithgow Rose 1
Dunipace 1
Cumnock Juniors 3
Turriff United 2
Sauchie 1
Lossiemouth 0
Beith 4
Broomhill 3
Cumbernauld Colts 1
Tranent FC 4
Hutchison Vale 1
East Kilbride 8
Whitehill Welfare 0
East Stirlingshire 0
Huntly 1
TBD -
Forfar Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
Annan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dumbarton -
TBD -
Banks O' Dee 6
Dalbeattie Star 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Peterhead -
TBD -
Clachnacuddin 1
Inverurie Loco Works 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ayr -
Hamilton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kelty Hearts -
Morton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keith 2
Luncarty 5
Boness United 3
Darvel FC 0
Montrose -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Edinburgh City -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Edinburgh University 2
Dunbar United 3
TBD -
East Fife -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alloa -
Camelon Juniors 1
Civil Service Strollers 2
TBD -
Stranraer -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Johnstone -
Brechin 4
Rothes 0
TBD -
Spartans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arbroath -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
1/64-finals
Musselburgh 2
Clyde 3
Jeanfield Swifts 6
Elgin City 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberdeen -
Albion Rovers 2
St. Andrews United 1
Fraserburgh 1
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Falkirk -
TBD -
Formartine Utd 3
Clydebank FC 2
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Stenhousemuir 0
Brora Rangers 2
Pollok 5
Gala Fairydean Rovers 2
Stirling -
TBD -
TBD -
Cove Rangers -
St. Mirren -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen of the South -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee Utd -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Deveronvale 0
Broxburn Athletic 1
Forres Mechanics 0
Buckie Thistle 1
Ross County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Partick -
TBD -
TBD -
Queen's Park -
Livingston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunfermline -
TBD -
TBD -
Raith -
Inverness -
TBD -
Kilwinning Rangers 0
Cowdenbeath 1
Cumnock Juniors 2
Turriff United 1
Beith 1
Broomhill 3
Tranent FC 7
East Kilbride 0
Huntly 1
Forfar Athletic 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
Annan -
TBD -
Dumbarton 3
Banks O' Dee 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers -
Peterhead 3
Clachnacuddin 1
TBD -
Ayr -
Hamilton -
TBD -
TBD -
Kelty Hearts -
Morton -
TBD -
Luncarty 0
Boness United 1
Montrose -
TBD -
TBD -
Edinburgh City -
Motherwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunbar United 1
East Fife 0
TBD -
Alloa -
Civil Service Strollers 0
Stranraer 3
TBD -
Airdrieonians -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Johnstone -
Brechin 1
Spartans 2
TBD -
Arbroath -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
1/32-finals
Clyde 2
Jeanfield Swifts 0
TBD -
Aberdeen -
Albion Rovers 0
Bonnyrigg Rose 1
Falkirk 3
Formartine Utd 0
Kilmarnock -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundee FC -
Brora Rangers 1
Pollok 0
Stirling 0
Cove Rangers 2
St. Mirren -
TBD -
Queen of the South 3
Dundee Utd 2
Celtic -
TBD -
Broxburn Athletic 2
Buckie Thistle 3
Ross County -
TBD -
Partick 3
Queen's Park 0
Livingston -
TBD -
Dunfermline 0
Raith 3
Inverness 2
Cowdenbeath 0
Cumnock Juniors 0
Broomhill 3
Tranent FC 0
Forfar Athletic 1
TBD -
Hibernian -
Annan 4
Dumbarton 5
TBD -
Rangers -
Peterhead 1
Ayr 2
Hamilton 0
Kelty Hearts 2
Morton 4
Boness United 0
Montrose 3
Edinburgh City 0
Motherwell -
TBD -
Dunbar United 1
Alloa 2
Stranraer 0
Airdrieonians 1
TBD -
St Johnstone -
Spartans 2
Arbroath 1
TBD -
Hearts -
1/16-finals
Clyde 0
Aberdeen 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 2
Falkirk 1
Kilmarnock 2
Dundee FC 0
Brora Rangers 1
Cove Rangers 3
St. Mirren 1
Queen of the South 0
Celtic 5
Buckie Thistle 0
Ross County 0
Partick 3
Livingston 2
Raith 1
Inverness 4
Broomhill 0
Forfar Athletic 0
Hibernian 1
Dumbarton 1
Rangers 4
Ayr 3
Kelty Hearts 0
Morton 2
Montrose 0
Motherwell 3
Alloa 1
Airdrieonians 1
St Johnstone 0
Spartans 1
Hearts 2
1/8-finals
Aberdeen 2
Bonnyrigg Rose 0
Kilmarnock 2
Cove Rangers 0
St. Mirren 0
Celtic 2
Partick 2
Livingston 3
Inverness 1
Hibernian 3
Rangers 2
Ayr 0
Morton 2
Motherwell 1
Airdrieonians 1
Hearts 4
Quarter-finals
Aberdeen 3
Kilmarnock 1
Celtic 4
Livingston 2
Hibernian 0
Rangers 2
Morton 0
Hearts 1
Semi-finals
Aberdeen 3
Celtic 4
Rangers 2
Hearts 0
Final
Celtic 1
Rangers 0