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Formentera vs Cardassar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Sastre S. T.
35' Event
Vaccarini G.
87' Event
Gorriz A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Formentera and Cardassar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Formentera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Formentera
30%
Draws
39%
Cardassar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cardassar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Formentera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Formentera Clean Sheet 20%
Cardassar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formentera Cardassar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Cardassar
3:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Cardassar vs Formentera
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Formentera Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaccarini G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gorriz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Cardassar Compare

Top Goalscorer Sastre S. T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formentera 32 / 100
Cardassar 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formentera Cardassar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cardassar conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Formentera scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Formentera has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Formentera VS Cardassar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Formentera

(Home)
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Manacor
3 : 0
Formentera
Page 1 of 6

Cardassar

(Away)
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)