Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 game between Formentera and Esporles finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Formentera.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Formentera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Esporles haven't matched Formentera's recent run of results.
- Formentera are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Formentera have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Formentera Clean Sheet 20%
Esporles Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Formentera | Esporles |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 1 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 2.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Esporles
3:1
Oct 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Formentera
3:6
Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Esporles
0:0
Nov 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Esporles vs Formentera
0:1
Apr 13, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Esporles
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Formentera 85 / 100
Esporles 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Formentera Esporles
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Formentera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Esporles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Formentera's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Formentera has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Formentera VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Formentera
(Home) 13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1 Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1 Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2 Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1 Cardassar
26 Apr
Manacor
3 : 0 Formentera
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13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1 Porreres
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1 Cardassar
19 Apr
Formentera
1 : 0 Mercadal
04 Apr
Formentera
2 : 0 Felanitx
22 Mar
Formentera
2 : 1 Portmany
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Esporles
(Away) 20 Jun
Esporles
0 : 2 Cardassar
12 Jun
Felanitx
3 : 0 Esporles
05 Jun
Esporles
0 : 4 Ferriolense
29 May
Genova
1 : 1 Esporles
23 May
Esporles
1 : 3 Soller
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12 Jun
Felanitx
3 : 0 Esporles
29 May
Genova
1 : 1 Esporles
16 May
Cardassar
3 : 2 Esporles
02 May
Ferriolense
3 : 1 Esporles
18 Apr
Soller
1 : 0 Esporles
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SD Ibiza | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 38:11 | 44 |
| 2 | Andratx | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 35:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Constancia | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 24:14 | 35 |
| 4 | Manacor | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 26:20 | 34 |
| 5 | Portmany | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 29:26 | 30 |
| 6 | Collerense | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 29 |
| 7 | Soller | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 21:36 | 23 |
| 8 | Cardassar | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:28 | 22 |
| 9 | Felanitx | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 29:32 | 19 |
| 10 | Ferriolense | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14:32 | 13 |
| 11 | Genova | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19:41 | 11 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platges de Calvia | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 31:13 | 45 |
| 2 | PE Sant Jordi | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 33:17 | 41 |
| 3 | Formentera | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 36:20 | 39 |
| 4 | Mallorca B | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 34:10 | 38 |
| 5 | Santanyi | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23:12 | 35 |
| 6 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 25:24 | 22 |
| 7 | Llosetense | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 17:28 | 22 |
| 8 | Alcudia | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17:32 | 21 |
| 9 | Santa Catalina Atletico | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 12:30 | 17 |
| 10 | Binissalem | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 17:24 | 15 |
| 11 | Esporles | 20 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15:50 | 7 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 11 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
