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Formentera vs Manacor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Formentera host Manacor in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Formentera at 1.45 goals for, 0.81 against; Manacor at 2.21 for, 1.16 against. Head-to-head, Formentera have won 0 to Manacor's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.44, favoring Manacor. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Formentera
20%
Draws
52%
Manacor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manacor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Formentera haven't matched Manacor's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Manacor taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Formentera Clean Sheet 16%
Manacor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formentera Manacor
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 14 26
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.45 2.21
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Formentera
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Manacor
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Formentera
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Manacor
0:3
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Manacor vs Formentera
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formentera 19 / 100
Manacor 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formentera Manacor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manacor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Formentera scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Manacor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 38 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Formentera stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Formentera VS Manacor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Formentera

(Home)
04 Oct
SD Ibiza
2 : 0
Formentera
27 Sept
Formentera
3 : 0
PE Sant Jordi
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
Page 1 of 7

Manacor

(Away)
03 Oct
Manacor
2 : 1
Andratx
27 Sept
Sineu
1 : 4
Manacor
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2
Manacor
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Constancia 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)