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Formentera vs PE Sant Jordi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Losada F.
79' Event
Braga J.
86' Event
Pineda M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Formentera and PE Sant Jordi finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Formentera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Formentera
35%
Draws
32%
PE Sant Jordi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Formentera come out ahead of PE Sant Jordi on wins alone.
  • Formentera are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Formentera Clean Sheet 20%
PE Sant Jordi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formentera PE Sant Jordi
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.26 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs PE Sant Jordi
3:0
Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi vs Formentera
3:3
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs PE Sant Jordi
1:0
Feb 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
PE Sant Jordi vs Formentera
0:2
Nov 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs PE Sant Jordi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Formentera Compare

Top Goalscorer Losada F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Braga J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

PE Sant Jordi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formentera 76 / 100
PE Sant Jordi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formentera PE Sant Jordi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Formentera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PE Sant Jordi has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Formentera scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Formentera went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Formentera VS PE Sant Jordi
1.88 Goals Scored 1.17
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Formentera

(Home)
04 Oct
SD Ibiza
2 : 0
Formentera
27 Sept
Formentera
3 : 0
PE Sant Jordi
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
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PE Sant Jordi

(Away)
04 Oct
PE Sant Jordi
0 : 0
Inter Ibiza
27 Sept
Formentera
3 : 0
PE Sant Jordi
20 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2
Andratx
12 Sept
Sineu
2 : 4
PE Sant Jordi
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Constancia 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)