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Formentera vs Portmany

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Losada F.
86' Event
Losada F.
90' Event
Romero A.

AI Match Summary

Formentera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Formentera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Formentera
35%
Draws
25%
Portmany
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Formentera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Formentera have won more games recently than Portmany.
  • Formentera are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Formentera Clean Sheet 68%
Portmany Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formentera Portmany
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.19 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Portmany
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Formentera
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Portmany
5:3
Dec 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Formentera
1:4
Aug 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Portmany vs Formentera
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Formentera Compare

Top Goalscorer Losada F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Portmany Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formentera 86 / 100
Portmany 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formentera Portmany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Formentera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Portmany conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Formentera's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Formentera has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Formentera VS Portmany
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Formentera

(Home)
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1
Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2
Formentera
03 May
Formentera
3 : 1
Cardassar
26 Apr
Manacor
3 : 0
Formentera
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Portmany

(Away)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)