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Formiga EC vs Guarani-MG

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Formiga EC in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2010 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Formiga EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Formiga EC
15%
Draws
85%
Guarani-MG
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guarani-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guarani-MG lately — more wins on the board than Formiga EC.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Guarani-MG taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Mineiro 2 2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Formiga EC Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formiga EC Guarani-MG
Matches Played 35 42
Wins 7 21
Draws 9 8
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2017 Mineiro 2
Formiga EC vs Guarani-MG
0:3
Mar 1, 2017 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Formiga EC
3:0
May 1, 2010 Mineiro 2
Formiga EC vs Guarani-MG
1:1
Apr 24, 2010 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Formiga EC
1:0
Mar 27, 2010 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Formiga EC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formiga EC 10 / 100
Guarani-MG 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formiga EC Guarani-MG

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani-MG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani-MG let in goals in 74% of their last 42 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Formiga EC scored in 57% of their last 35 outings.

Guarani-MG lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guarani-MG
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Formiga EC

(Home)
01 Apr
Formiga EC
0 : 3
Nacional de Muriae
26 Mar
Tupynambas
3 : 0
Formiga EC
24 Mar
Formiga EC
0 : 3
Guarani-MG
18 Mar
Social
3 : 0
Formiga EC
16 Mar
Formiga EC
0 : 3
Serranense
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Guarani-MG

(Away)
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4
Boa
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Mamore
2 : 2
Guarani-MG
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Uberaba
2 : 1
Guarani-MG
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