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Formiga EC vs Patrocinense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Patrocinense in this Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patrocinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Formiga EC
6%
Draws
90%
Patrocinense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Patrocinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Patrocinense have won more games recently than Formiga EC.
  • Patrocinense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Mineiro 2 2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Patrocinense here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Formiga EC Clean Sheet 20%
Patrocinense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Formiga EC Patrocinense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2016 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Formiga EC
4:3
Feb 17, 2016 Mineiro 2
Formiga EC vs Patrocinense
3:0
Apr 16, 2011 Mineiro 2
Patrocinense vs Formiga EC
2:0
Apr 10, 2011 Mineiro 2
Formiga EC vs Patrocinense
2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Formiga EC 10 / 100
Patrocinense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Formiga EC Patrocinense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Patrocinense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Patrocinense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Formiga EC found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Patrocinense
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%