Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018

Fornos de Algodres

1 - 3

Mortagua FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mortagua FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mortagua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Fornos de Algodres

Draws

90%

Mortagua FC

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mortagua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Fornos de Algodres haven't matched Mortagua FC's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Mortagua FC taking it.
Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Fornos de Algodres Clean Sheet 20%

Mortagua FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fornos de Algodres	Mortagua FC
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	1	15
Draws	4	6
Losses	25	10
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Fornos de Algodres vs Mortagua FC

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Aug 20, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Mortagua FC vs Fornos de Algodres

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fornos de Algodres 10 / 100

Mortagua FC 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fornos de Algodres Mortagua FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mortagua FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Mortagua FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Fornos de Algodres found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Mortagua FC

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.63

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Leiria	30	23	4	3	68:21	73
2	Lusitano FCV	30	20	5	5	47:19	65
3	SB Castelo Branco	30	17	8	5	48:23	59
4	Sertanense	30	15	8	7	51:22	53
5	Agueda	30	14	7	9	39:32	49
6	Gafanha	30	13	9	8	36:23	48
7	Anadia	30	12	10	8	39:28	46
8	Maritimo B	30	14	3	13	44:30	45
9	Nogueirense	30	11	9	10	37:38	42
10	Oleiros	30	12	6	12	35:36	42
11	Marinhense	30	11	8	11	43:41	41
12	Mortagua FC	30	11	3	16	23:40	36
13	Ferreira de Aves	30	9	2	19	34:69	29
14	Aguias do Moradal	30	5	6	19	29:54	21
15	GD Sourense	30	3	8	19	28:57	17
16	Fornos de Algodres	30	0	4	26	15:83	4