Sport Picks
Fornos de Algodres vs Nogueirense
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
Fornos de Algodres play Nogueirense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018. Nogueirense are favorites here. Recently, Fornos de Algodres averaged 0.6 goals scored and 3.03 conceded. Nogueirense averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. In past meetings, Fornos de Algodres won 0, Nogueirense won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 11, 2018 ended 0:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Fornos de Algodres and 2.60 for Nogueirense. This points to a Nogueirense double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Fornos de Algodres picked up more points recently compared to Nogueirense.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.60 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fornos de Algodres | Nogueirense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 1 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 25 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.03 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 4.33 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fornos de Algodres scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Nogueirense let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.
Games between these two average 4.50 goals.
Fornos de Algodres went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Nogueirense lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.
Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.
Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leiria | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Lusitano FCV | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 47:19 | 65 |
| 3 | SB Castelo Branco | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 48:23 | 59 |
| 4 | Sertanense | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 51:22 | 53 |
| 5 | Agueda | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 39:32 | 49 |
| 6 | Gafanha | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 36:23 | 48 |
| 7 | Anadia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 39:28 | 46 |
| 8 | Maritimo B | 30 | 14 | 3 | 13 | 44:30 | 45 |
| 9 | Nogueirense | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 37:38 | 42 |
| 10 | Oleiros | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 35:36 | 42 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43:41 | 41 |
| 12 | Mortagua FC | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 23:40 | 36 |
| 13 | Ferreira de Aves | 30 | 9 | 2 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Aguias do Moradal | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 29:54 | 21 |
| 15 | GD Sourense | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 28:57 | 17 |
| 16 | Fornos de Algodres | 30 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 15:83 | 4 |