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Forrest Hill vs Birkenhead

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Birkenhead in this Chatham Cup 2016 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Forrest Hill
25%
Draws
35%
Birkenhead
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Forrest Hill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Birkenhead have won more games recently than Forrest Hill.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Birkenhead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Birkenhead, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Forrest Hill Clean Sheet 11%
Birkenhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forrest Hill Birkenhead
Matches Played 2 34
Wins 1 17
Draws 0 3
Losses 1 14
Goals Scored 1.5 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2016 Chatham Cup
Forrest Hill vs Birkenhead
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forrest Hill 29 / 100
Birkenhead 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forrest Hill Birkenhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forrest Hill Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birkenhead has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Forrest Hill scored in 50% of their last 2 games.

Recent resilience: Forrest Hill stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Birkenhead
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Forrest Hill

(Home)
07 Aug
Forrest Hill
0 : 3
Birkenhead
16 Jul
Forrest Hill
3 : 0
Bay Olympic

Birkenhead

(Away)
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1
Western Springs
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
15 Nov
Auckland United
3 : 2
Birkenhead
09 Nov
Birkenhead
3 : 0
Christchurch
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Forrest Hill 3
Bay Olympic 0
East Coast 3
Birkenhead 5
Universities of Canterbury 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Wairarapa United 2
Miramar 4
Waitakere City 3
Waitemata FC 1
Queenstown Rovers 0
Caversham 1
Te Atatu FC 1
Three Kings 2
Palmerston North Marist 2
North Wellington 3
Quarter-finals
Forrest Hill 0
Birkenhead 3
Cashmere Technical 2
Miramar 4
Waitakere City 3
Caversham 1
Three Kings 6
North Wellington 1
Semi-finals
Birkenhead 3
Miramar 1
Waitakere City 6
Three Kings 1
Final
Birkenhead 3
Waitakere City 2