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Fort Wayne vs Chattanooga Red Wolves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Ruoff Mortgage Stadium, Fort Wayne, IN
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Match Events

13'
Adewole T.
15'
Rempel M.
30' Event
Becher R.
Assist: Armas J.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Fort Wayne and Chattanooga Red Wolves finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chattanooga Red Wolves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Fort Wayne
20%
Draws
22%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fort Wayne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chattanooga Red Wolves come out ahead of Fort Wayne on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fort Wayne's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 18%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fort Wayne Chattanooga Red Wolves
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.62 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Fort Wayne
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fort Wayne Compare

Top Goalscorer Becher R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Lelin Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mercer G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fort Wayne 58 / 100
Chattanooga Red Wolves 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fort Wayne Chattanooga Red Wolves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fort Wayne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fort Wayne scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Chattanooga Red Wolves's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Fort Wayne remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fort Wayne VS Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fort Wayne

(Home)
17 Oct
Fort Wayne
1 : 3
Sarasota Paradise
10 Oct
Union Omaha
0 : 1
Fort Wayne
08 Oct
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
03 Oct
Fort Wayne
0 : 0
Forward Madison
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1
Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6

Chattanooga Red Wolves

(Away)
18 Oct
Spokane Velocity
1 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0
Corpus Christi FC
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 31 20 6 5 73:42 66
2 Union Omaha 31 19 4 8 54:34 61
3 Forward Madison 31 16 7 8 54:30 55
4 Athletic Club Boise 31 16 7 8 49:41 55
5 One Knoxville 32 15 9 8 52:36 54
6 Spokane Velocity 30 16 5 9 47:40 53
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 31 14 4 13 50:44 46
8 Fort Wayne 31 12 9 10 47:40 45
9 FC Naples 30 12 4 14 35:44 40
10 Westchester SC 31 11 6 14 53:49 39
11 Sarasota Paradise 30 11 6 13 45:46 39
12 Corpus Christi FC 31 9 9 13 34:49 36
13 AV Alta FC 31 8 9 14 38:46 33
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 31 7 10 14 44:57 31
15 Greenville Triumph 31 7 6 18 36:60 27
16 Richmond Kickers 31 7 5 19 37:64 26
17 New York Cosmos 30 7 4 19 36:62 25
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