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Fort Wayne vs Chattanooga Red Wolves

USA USA

USL League One Ruoff Mortgage Stadium, Fort Wayne, IN
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Adewole T.
15'
Rempel M.
30' Event
Becher R.
Assist: Armas J.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Fort Wayne and Chattanooga Red Wolves finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chattanooga Red Wolves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Fort Wayne
15%
Draws
46%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chattanooga Red Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chattanooga Red Wolves come out ahead of Fort Wayne on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 14%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fort Wayne Chattanooga Red Wolves
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 USL League One
Fort Wayne vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Fort Wayne
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fort Wayne Compare

Top Goalscorer Becher R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Lelin Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mercer G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fort Wayne 35 / 100
Chattanooga Red Wolves 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fort Wayne Chattanooga Red Wolves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chattanooga Red Wolves Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fort Wayne scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Chattanooga Red Wolves's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Fort Wayne remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fort Wayne VS Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fort Wayne

(Home)
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
29 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4
Fort Wayne
15 Aug
Fort Wayne
1 : 2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
09 Aug
AV Alta FC
3 : 0
Fort Wayne
01 Aug
Fort Wayne
0 : 2
Union Omaha
Page 1 of 6

Chattanooga Red Wolves

(Away)
02 Sept
Westchester SC
0 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
29 Aug
Chattanooga Red Wolves
2 : 3
Athletic Club Boise
22 Aug
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 3
New York Cosmos
19 Aug
Sarasota Paradise
3 : 2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
15 Aug
Fort Wayne
1 : 2
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlotte Independence 23 15 4 4 55:31 49
2 Union Omaha 24 14 4 6 41:27 46
3 Forward Madison 23 13 5 5 44:24 44
4 One Knoxville 23 11 7 5 38:26 40
5 Spokane Velocity 21 12 2 7 32:27 38
6 Athletic Club Boise 23 11 5 7 36:33 38
7 Chattanooga Red Wolves 22 11 2 9 41:35 35
8 Fort Wayne 22 9 6 7 32:25 33
9 AV Alta FC 25 8 8 9 33:34 32
10 Corpus Christi FC 23 7 9 7 28:32 30
11 FC Naples 23 8 2 13 27:39 26
12 Sarasota Paradise 23 7 4 12 25:37 25
13 Westchester SC 23 6 5 12 34:35 23
14 Greenville Triumph 22 6 5 11 27:35 23
15 Portland Hearts of Pine 24 5 8 11 35:44 23
16 New York Cosmos 23 5 4 14 26:46 19
17 Richmond Kickers 23 5 4 14 21:45 19
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)