Sport Picks
Fort Wayne vs Sarasota Paradise - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Ruoff Mortgage Stadium, Fort Wayne, IN 
AI Match Summary
Fort Wayne host Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Sarasota Paradise have shipped 1.64 goals a game lately, while Fort Wayne have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.66. Head-to-head, Fort Wayne have won 0 to Sarasota Paradise's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.69 - 2.13) back Fort Wayne to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sarasota Paradise have managed 1.46 goals a game lately — Fort Wayne are scoring more at 1.66.
- Win probability leans Sarasota Paradise's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fort Wayne | Sarasota Paradise |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fort Wayne scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Sarasota Paradise let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Fort Wayne remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fort Wayne
(Home)Sarasota Paradise
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:37 | 42 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
