Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs America De Cali

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio Municipal de Cota, Cota
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Velasquez J.
24' Event
Angel T.
Assist: Correa B.
29'
Valencia D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Fortaleza C.E.I.F. and America De Cali finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America De Cali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
33%
Draws
27%
America De Cali
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America De Cali come out ahead of Fortaleza C.E.I.F. on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fortaleza C.E.I.F. a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 68%
America De Cali Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza C.E.I.F. America De Cali
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.71 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.71 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs America De Cali
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs America De Cali
1:0
Mar 31, 2025 Primera A
America De Cali vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Primera A
America De Cali vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 Primera A
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs America De Cali
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Arroyo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

America De Cali Compare

Top Goalscorer Angel T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 50 / 100
America De Cali 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. America De Cali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fortaleza C.E.I.F. scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

America De Cali let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. VS America De Cali
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.71 Goals Conceded 1
43% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 13%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

(Home)
29 May
Cucuta
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
20 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1
Orsomarso
11 May
Ind. Medellin
1 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
08 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
4 : 1
Leones
03 May
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 1
Bucaramanga
Page 1 of 6

America De Cali

(Away)
16 Jul
Houston Dynamo
2 : 1
America De Cali
12 Jul
UNAM Pumas
0 : 1
America De Cali
10 Jul
Santos Laguna
0 : 1
America De Cali
29 May
America De Cali
0 : 0
Macara
20 May
America De Cali
1 : 1
Tigre
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Nacional19131535:1540
2Junior19112631:2435
3Dep. Pasto19104529:2534
4America De Cali19103625:1533
5Once Caldas1989231:2233
6Deportes Tolima1987427:1731
7Santa Fe1978429:2229
8Inter Bogotá1977526:2628
9Dep. Cali1976620:1627
10Millonarios1975731:2326
11Ind. Medellin1975726:2426
12Aguilas Doradas1975720:2526
13Bucaramanga1958626:2023
14Llaneros19410517:2022
15Fortaleza C.E.I.F.1957722:2722
16Jaguares de Cordoba19531120:3318
17Alianza1938813:2717
18Chico19521215:3217
19Cucuta1937922:3516
20Dep. Pereira19171115:3210
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)