Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Orsomarso

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. play Orsomarso in the Copa Colombia. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fortaleza C.E.I.F. averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Orsomarso averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. In past meetings, Fortaleza C.E.I.F. won 4, Orsomarso won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 20, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Fortaleza C.E.I.F. and 1.13 for Orsomarso. This points to a Fortaleza C.E.I.F. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
29%
Draws
30%
Orsomarso
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortaleza C.E.I.F. picked up more points recently compared to Orsomarso.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 21%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Orsomarso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Colombia
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Orsomarso
1:1
Aug 5, 2023 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
0:1
Feb 17, 2023 Primera B
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Orsomarso
3:1
Sep 30, 2022 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
0:4
Mar 7, 2022 Primera B
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Orsomarso
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Salas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Orsomarso Compare

Top Goalscorer Matamba D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 41 / 100
Orsomarso 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Orsomarso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fortaleza C.E.I.F. or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +19.5%
3.23
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. attacking → ← attacking Orsomarso

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Orsomarso let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Fortaleza C.E.I.F. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Orsomarso lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 29
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Cali440010:212
2Alianza42116:37
3Boca Juniors de Cali42118:87
4Bucaramanga41038:73
5Real Santander40041:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Millonarios431014:510
2Llaneros43017:29
3Chico41216:35
4Patriotas40224:72
5Atletico F.C.40132:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ind. Medellin42205:38
2Fortaleza C.E.I.F.41215:35
3Leones41214:55
4Cucuta40312:33
5Orsomarso40313:53
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Pereira42204:28
2Real Cundinamarca42116:47
3Aguilas Doradas41307:46
4Jaguares de Cordoba41124:34
5Ind. Yumbo40132:101