Sport Picks
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Orsomarso
Colombia
Copa Colombia Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá 
Match Events
33'
33'
Matamba D.
84'
84'
Salas J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Orsomarso have managed 0.79 goals a game lately — Fortaleza C.E.I.F. are scoring more at 1.25.
- Win probability leans Fortaleza C.E.I.F.'s way, sitting at 40%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Fortaleza C.E.I.F., who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Fortaleza C.E.I.F. here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Clean Sheet 68%
Orsomarso Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | Orsomarso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 20, 2026 Copa Colombia
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Orsomarso
1:1
Aug 5, 2023 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
0:1
Feb 17, 2023 Primera B
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Orsomarso
3:1
Sep 30, 2022 Primera B
Orsomarso vs Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
0:4
Mar 7, 2022 Primera B
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. vs Orsomarso
6:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Compare
Top Goalscorer Salas J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Orsomarso Compare
Top Goalscorer Matamba D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 50 / 100
Orsomarso 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Orsomarso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fortaleza C.E.I.F. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.'s goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Orsomarso has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Fortaleza C.E.I.F. VS Orsomarso
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
(Home) 27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2 Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4 Junior
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
05 Sept
Santa Fe
2 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
02 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Once Caldas
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 2 Deportes Tolima
20 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 4 Junior
02 Sept
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Once Caldas
23 Aug
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 2 Atl. Nacional
08 Aug
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
2 : 0 Cucuta
Page 1 of 3
Orsomarso
(Away) 01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0 Orsomarso
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3 Orsomarso
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0 Orsomarso
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Atletico F.C.
10 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2 Tigres Futbol Club
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Envigado
0 : 0 Orsomarso
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3 Orsomarso
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0 Orsomarso
20 Aug
Patriotas
1 : 1 Orsomarso
31 Jul
Union Magdalena
0 : 0 Orsomarso
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Alianza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Real Santander | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millonarios | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Chico | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 5 |
| 4 | Patriotas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 5 | Atletico F.C. | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:16 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Medellin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Leones | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 4 | Cucuta | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 5 | Orsomarso | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Pereira | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Aguilas Doradas | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
