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Fortaleza U20 vs Quixada U20

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Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza U20 play Quixada U20 in the Cearense U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fortaleza U20 averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. Quixada U20 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Fortaleza U20 won 2, Quixada U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 1, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Fortaleza U20 and 1.50 for Quixada U20. This points to a Fortaleza U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Fortaleza U20
26%
Draws
32%
Quixada U20
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Fortaleza U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortaleza U20 picked up more points recently compared to Quixada U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Quixada U20 Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza U20 Quixada U20
Matches Played 34 20
Wins 13 9
Draws 12 3
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.76 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2025 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Quixada U20
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Cearense U20
Quixada U20 vs Fortaleza U20
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaua Rocha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fashanu M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Quixada U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza U20 41 / 100
Quixada U20 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza U20 Quixada U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fortaleza U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fortaleza U20 attacking → ← attacking Quixada U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza U20 scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Quixada U20 let in goals in 60% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Fortaleza U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Quixada U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 30
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50